Do I ship it?

GamesBoard GameBoard Game + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Board Game + Choose Your Own Adventure

Only 19 developers shipped a Board Game Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Erannorth Renaissance, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×7.6 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×937 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 23 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Board Game + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $238 → $4.8k → $1.5k → $2.1k → $598 → $899 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Board Game + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,157)
Top 5% $112k (exactly $111,544)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 73
Announced 23
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Board Game, Choose Your Own Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Choices Matter, Multiple Endings
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 552 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $900, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Board Game with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Party-Based RPGFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair30 devs · median $6.7k · 33 announced
  3. + JRPGFair13 devs · median $2.5k · 7 announced
  4. + Local Co-OpFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 41 announced
  5. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair60 devs · median $1.3k · 81 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Fair8 devs · median $1.2k · 5 announced
  8. + SpaceFair28 devs · median $1.2k · 27 announced
  9. + Alternate HistoryFair20 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  10. + MahjongFair28 devs · median $1.1k · 21 announced
  11. + Party GameFair72 devs · median $899 · 98 announced
  12. + DragonsFair15 devs · median $838 · 15 announced

All 152 pairs on the Board Game page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cultist Simulator older $19.99 10,496 82% 315k $6.3M (exactly $6,294,451) Weather Factory
Hand of Fate older $19.99 8,009 89% 240k $4.8M (exactly $4,802,997) Defiant Development
THE GAME OF LIFE 2 older $12.49 3,702 78% 111k $1.4M (exactly $1,387,139) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Foretales older $19.99 779 87% 23k $467k (exactly $467,166) Alkemi
Nantucket older $17.99 782 78% 23k $422k (exactly $422,045) Picaresque Games
The Warlock of Firetop Mountain older $19.99 352 76% 11k $211k (exactly $211,094) Tin Man Games
7 Grand Steps: What Ancients Begat older $19.99 301 61% 9.0k $181k (exactly $180,510) Mousechief
Dynamic Dungeons Editor older $29.99 158 60% 4.7k $142k (exactly $142,153) Dynamic Dungeons
Erannorth Renaissance $19.99 186 81% 5.6k $112k (exactly $111,544) Spyridon Thalassinos
Worlds of Aria $14.99 220 90% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Ludogram
PENTALOOP -ペンタループ- $3.99 55 72% 1.7k $6.6k (exactly $6,584) イバラユーギ×ひろゆ~プロジェクト
Teach Kids Games $9.99 8 0% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) 2kblater
Quickcast $7.99 9 88% 270 $2.2k (exactly $2,157) ooze
Haulin' Oats $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Gramps Games
MEMOLOGY: War of Memes $0.99 52 76% 1.6k $1.5k (exactly $1,544) Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm, hannibaln… (Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm, hannibalnotdead)
Stratum Descent $4.99 8 100% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) That Indie Studio
Diamond Painting $7.99 4 75% 120 $959 (exactly $959) LeiZna
Write Warz $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Boltz Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.