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Should I ship a Bikes Immersive Sim?
Immersive Sim + Bikes
Only 6 developers shipped a Bikes Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sledders, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×8.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $72k against a market of $1.5k. 17 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $479 (exactly $479) |
|---|---|
| Median | $72k (exactly $72,389) |
| Top 25% | $206k (exactly $205,626) |
| Top 5% | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Immersive Sim
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Bikes
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Immersive Sim, Bikes
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 42,805 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 17 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Trading Card GameStrong odds
- + MinigamesStrong odds
- + WesternStrong odds
- + BoxingStrong odds
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Split ScreenFair
Comparable games
MX Bikes 2019 · EA · $37M 
Sledders 2025 · $3.9M 
Motorcycle Mechanic Simulator 2021 2021 · $948k 
LANESPLIT 2026 · $206k 
Food Delivery Simulator 2024 · EA · $72k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MX Bikes | · EA older | $34.99 | 35,684 94% | 1.1M | $37M (exactly $37,457,495) | PiBoSo |
| | Sledders | $29.99 | 4,372 95% | 131k | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) | Hanki Games | |
| | Motorcycle Mechanic Simulator 2021 | older | $19.99 | 1,580 68% | 47k | $948k (exactly $947,526) | Play2Chill S.A. |
| | LANESPLIT | $17.99 | 381 77% | 11k | $206k (exactly $205,626) | FunkyMouse | |
| | Food Delivery Simulator | · EA | $7.99 | 302 77% | 9.1k | $72k (exactly $72,389) | Black Sea Studios |
 | Project Third Eye | · EA older | $11.99 | 166 74% | 5.0k | $60k (exactly $59,710) | YueWorks |
 | Motorcycle Night Ride | · EA | $5.99 | 213 76% | 6.4k | $38k (exactly $38,276) | Suber Game Studio, Room Games |
 | Hell Road VR | older | $19.99 | 60 85% | 1.8k | $36k (exactly $35,982) | Travolab Replay |
 | DownhillVR | · EA older | $14.99 | 25 88% | 750 | $11k (exactly $11,242) | FiredBy s.r.o. |
 | Magnytour | older | $14.99 | 22 86% | 660 | $9.9k (exactly $9,893) | Pandaroo Interactive |
 | Bike Park Simulator: BMX, Dirt Jump & MTB | · EA | $7.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $479 (exactly $479) | Hard Shark Games |
 | Weasel Wes's Cycling Simulator | · EA | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | PzenQ |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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