Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Beat 'em up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Beat 'em up Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Beat 'em up

Only 7 developers shipped a Beat 'em up Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Brush Burial: Gutter World, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.8k against a market of $1.5k. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 16 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Beat 'em up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Beat 'em up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $3.8k (exactly $3,835)
Top 25% $109k (exactly $108,864)
Top 5% $251k (exactly $251,149)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 27
Announced 16
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Beat 'em up
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Beat 'em up
Price point
$3.00 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 27,042 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $3.8k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 16 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Police Simulator: Patrol Officers older $39.99 18,880 75% 566k $23M (exactly $22,650,336) Aesir Interactive
Wrestling Empire older $19.99 3,036 94% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) MDickie
Endorphin Vice · EA older $9.99 3,436 56% 103k $1.0M (exactly $1,029,769) Endorphin Studios
Brush Burial: Gutter World $9.99 838 93% 25k $251k (exactly $251,149) Knife Demon Software
LES MILLS XR BODYCOMBAT $29.99 121 85% 3.6k $109k (exactly $108,864) Odders Lab
Bloody Knuckles Street Boxing · EA older $14.99 210 52% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Luvseatshawty
World Racing 2 - Champion Edition older $9.99 311 85% 9.3k $93k (exactly $93,207) Synetic GmbH
Wrestling Revolution 2D older $4.99 96 94% 2.9k $14k (exactly $14,371) MDickie
Weekend Warriors MMA older $5.99 65 80% 2.0k $12k (exactly $11,680) MDickie
北城捷運糾察隊(Northern City Metro Patrol) $3.00 49 83% 1.5k $4.4k (exactly $4,410) HoneyJamStudio
Dough or Die · EA $7.99 16 100% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) Soundbyte Interactive
MAGA Simulator 2077 $1.99 4 100% 120 $239 (exactly $239) Luke Gayson
Food Escape $1.99 3 100% 90 $179 (exactly $179) E-G-G Innovations
Wawa Cicada $0.99 1 0% 30 $30 (exactly $30) 竹知了, Wawa Cicada

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.