Do I ship it?

GamesBaseballBaseball + Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Strategy Baseball game?

Baseball + Strategy

Only 14 developers shipped a Strategy Baseball game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Out of the Park Baseball 26, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.5k, ×5.0 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is up 95% on the market; 7 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 95% on the market, 7 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Baseball + Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.9k → $119 → $13k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Baseball + Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $7.5k (exactly $7,492)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $24,292)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,228,254)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 41
Announced 7
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $16.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Baseball
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Baseball, Strategy; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Resource Management, Simulation
Price point
$16.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $16.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,525 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $7.5k, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 7 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Baseball with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PvPFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + SimulationFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  3. + SportsFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  4. + ActionFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  5. + ArcadeLong shot15 devs · median $899 · 12 announced
  6. + PhysicsDead8 devs · median $119 · 10 announced

All 6 pairs on the Baseball page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Out of the Park Baseball 26 $49.99 819 82% 25k $1.2M (exactly $1,228,254) Out of the Park Developments
Out of the Park Baseball 27 $49.99 475 82% 14k $712k (exactly $712,358) Out of the Park Developments
Titanium Court $14.99 1,094 94% 33k $492k (exactly $491,972) AP Thomson
iB Cricket · EA older $29.99 124 91% 3.7k $112k (exactly $111,563) ProYuga Advanced Technologies Ltd
TOTALLY BASEBALL older $14.99 149 87% 4.5k $67k (exactly $67,005) ZEVO GAMES
长明火计划 Project: Eternal Flame older $19.99 77 88% 2.3k $46k (exactly $46,177) 唐扬Studio
Home Run High older $8.99 155 72% 4.7k $42k (exactly $41,804) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Trivia Vault Baseball Trivia older $13.99 75 69% 2.3k $31k (exactly $31,478) Ripknot Systems
College Baseball: Dynasty Builder $24.99 34 97% 1.0k $25k (exactly $25,490) Rainey Studios
Digital Diamond Baseball V12 older $29.99 28 92% 840 $25k (exactly $25,192) Curiosity Computing
Digital Diamond Baseball V13 $29.99 27 88% 810 $24k (exactly $24,292) Curiosity Computing
Game Pulse Payoff Pitch $49.95 9 66% 270 $13k (exactly $13,486) Fireside Experience
Road to Omaha: College Baseball Dynasty $19.99 13 69% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Brent Lane
Hakoniwa Base Ball $9.99 25 100% 750 $7.5k (exactly $7,492) Alybe Aria
Diceball $9.99 23 69% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) Ducknest Games
Digital Diamond Baseball V14 $34.99 6 33% 180 $6.3k (exactly $6,298) Curiosity Computing

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.