Do I ship it?

Games › Baseball › Baseball + Action

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Baseball game?

Baseball + Action

Only 16 developers shipped an Action Baseball game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Backyard Baseball, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×0.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $600. Revenue is up 55% on the market; 12 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 12 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Baseball + Action
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $23k → $119 → $2.4k → $898 → $5.5k (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Baseball + Action: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $598 (exactly $598)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,663)
Top 5% $1.5M (exactly $1,451,637)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 53
Announced 12
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Baseball
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Baseball, Action
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,764 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $1.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Baseball with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PvPFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + StrategyFair14 devs · median $7.5k · 7 announced
  3. + SimulationFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  4. + SportsFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 26 announced
  5. + ArcadeLong shot15 devs · median $899 · 12 announced
  6. + PhysicsDead8 devs · median $119 · 10 announced

All 6 pairs on the Baseball page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

FlatOut 2 2006 · $5.8M Super Mega Baseball 3 2020 · $2.5M Backyard Baseball 2026 · $1.5M All-In-One Sports VR 2023 · $420k iB Cricket 2020 · EA · $112k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FlatOut 2 older $9.99 19,466 95% 584k $5.8M (exactly $5,833,960) Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Me… (Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group)
Super Mega Baseball 3 older $44.99 1,832 92% 55k $2.5M (exactly $2,472,650) Metalhead Software Inc.
Backyard Baseball $39.99 1,210 80% 36k $1.5M (exactly $1,451,637) Mega Cat Studios
All-In-One Sports VR older $19.99 700 84% 21k $420k (exactly $419,790) Appnori Inc.
iB Cricket · EA older $29.99 124 91% 3.7k $112k (exactly $111,563) ProYuga Advanced Technologies Ltd
TOTALLY BASEBALL older $14.99 149 87% 4.5k $67k (exactly $67,005) ZEVO GAMES
Bat Boy older $14.99 146 94% 4.4k $66k (exactly $65,656) X PLUS Co., Ltd., Sonzai Games
Home Run High older $8.99 155 72% 4.7k $42k (exactly $41,804) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Donuts for Deer Teeth $6.99 192 98% 5.8k $40k (exactly $40,262) posmnaut, Hefty Totem, BirdLovely, Mizu… (posmnaut, Hefty Totem, BirdLovely, MizuBlackRiver, Prahno Audio)
Super Psycho Baseball $4.99 235 92% 7.1k $35k (exactly $35,180) internetcharles
SPORTAL $7.99 57 94% 1.7k $14k (exactly $13,663) Sleepwalking Potatoes
holoBase $12.99 14 71% 420 $5.5k (exactly $5,456) Clover Lab.,inc.
Error_Boy.exe $8.99 9 100% 270 $2.4k (exactly $2,427) WalnutPunch
Accolade Sports Collection (QUByte Classics) $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) QUByte Interactive
Jaleco Sports: Bases Loaded $7.99 5 100% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Sickhead Games
Call of Ponchy : Mahjong Warfare $0.99 35 100% 1.1k $1.0k (exactly $1,040) デジメカ製作所
Baseball Club $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) BoomBit

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.