Do I ship it?

GamesAutomationAutomation + Gambling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gambling Automation game?

Automation + Gambling

Of 24 developers who shipped a Gambling Automation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.6k, ×4.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $610k, ×987 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 39 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 39 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automation + Gambling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $50k → $16k → $46k (still earning) → $748 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automation + Gambling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $2.6k (exactly $2,633)
Top 25% $64k (exactly $64,494)
Top 5% $620k (exactly $619,664)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 41
Announced 39
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 280% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automation
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Gambling
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Automation, Gambling; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Economy, Idler
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, Relaxing, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 12,139 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.6k, 1 in 4 over $64k, 1 in 20 over $610k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds36 devs · median $57k · 31 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistStrong odds27 devs · median $4.5k · 32 announced
  3. + Open World Survival CraftFair28 devs · median $307k · 37 announced
  4. + HorrorFair19 devs · median $8.0k · 29 announced
  5. + HistoricalFair26 devs · median $7.9k · 24 announced
  6. + UndergroundFair20 devs · median $7.4k · 32 announced
  7. + Class-BasedFair19 devs · median $6.6k · 22 announced
  8. + MiningFair105 devs · median $4.9k · 164 announced
  9. + Auto BattlerFair112 devs · median $4.5k · 153 announced
  10. + ProgrammingFair84 devs · median $3.8k · 102 announced
  11. + FishingFair40 devs · median $3.4k · 46 announced
  12. + Turn-Based TacticsFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced

All 135 pairs on the Automation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fortune Mill $7.99 3,712 81% 111k $890k (exactly $889,766) Lavaflame2
Gamblers Table $6.99 2,955 74% 89k $620k (exactly $619,664) greenpixels, Bossforge
Ultimate Theater Simulator $12.99 634 88% 19k $247k (exactly $247,070) RAKTWO Games, steelbox Games
Incredicer $2.99 2,408 85% 72k $216k (exactly $215,998) pochi
Fhtagn Simulator older $7.99 535 89% 16k $128k (exactly $128,240) 锁眼工作室
Slots & Diapers $6.99 539 88% 16k $113k (exactly $113,028) Parodie Games
Dice People $2.99 719 90% 22k $64k (exactly $64,494) Mateusk2m, Manodeix
SuperTaxCity $9.99 166 89% 5.0k $50k (exactly $49,750) soramame-koubou
Particul $1.99 769 80% 23k $46k (exactly $45,909) MILLION PIXELS
Your Second Wife $3.99 135 84% 4.1k $16k (exactly $16,160) Kygua Tech
Pick Ball $2.49 102 66% 3.1k $7.6k (exactly $7,619) Blueberry Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.