Do I ship it?

GamesJRPGJRPG + Auto Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Auto Battler JRPG?

JRPG + Auto Battler

Only 12 developers shipped an Auto Battler JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Legends of Dragaea: Idle Dungeons, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $13k, ×20 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $330; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×466 the market median. Revenue is up 9440% on the market; 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 20.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 9440% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
JRPG + Auto Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $330 → $17k → $107k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for JRPG + Auto Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $330 (exactly $330)
Median $13k (exactly $12,575)
Top 25% $209k (exactly $209,250)
Top 5% $293k (exactly $292,507)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 37
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 9440% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 30%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

JRPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
JRPG, Auto Battler
Price point
$10.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 2,324 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $330, median $13k, 1 in 4 over $200k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $330. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

JRPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds12 devs · median $54k · 6 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  3. + NinjaFair7 devs · median $19k · 10 announced
  4. + RomanceFair153 devs · median $13k · 164 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair219 devs · median $13k · 265 announced
  6. + ManagementFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair31 devs · median $8.6k · 35 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair41 devs · median $8.4k · 45 announced
  9. + LootFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  10. + RoguelikeFair85 devs · median $5.2k · 103 announced
  11. + 2D PlatformerFair150 devs · median $4.2k · 157 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligenceFair25 devs · median $4.0k · 21 announced

All 142 pairs on the JRPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Symphony of War: The Nephilim Saga older $19.99 12,880 94% 386k $7.7M (exactly $7,724,136) Dancing Dragon Games
Dragon Cliff older $9.99 7,679 88% 230k $2.3M (exactly $2,301,396) Meta Interaction
Disgaea 6 Complete older $59.99 387 63% 12k $696k (exactly $696,484) Nippon Ichi Software, Inc.
Legends of Dragaea: Idle Dungeons $9.99 976 86% 29k $293k (exactly $292,507) Blast Programming
Rogue Voltage $15.99 593 92% 18k $284k (exactly $284,462) Horizont Computergrafik
Botworld Odyssey $25.00 279 76% 8.4k $209k (exactly $209,250) Featherweight Games
Girls of The Tower older $6.99 579 84% 17k $121k (exactly $121,416) Robo Cat
Loser Got Isekai’d – Sex, Side Jobs, and Odd Tasks $13.99 254 89% 7.6k $107k (exactly $106,604) Morexingame
Heroes of Eternal Quest older $11.99 107 71% 3.2k $38k (exactly $38,488) Drakkar Game Studio
The Alchemist of Ars Magna older $39.99 31 77% 930 $37k (exactly $37,191) Ninetail
Cowgirl Maid Milk Cafe $14.99 39 76% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,538) Kuroneko Cafe
Loser Got Isekai’d -Gotta Conquer the Girls Before Conquering the World- $13.99 41 75% 1.2k $17k (exactly $17,208) Morexingame
Slay All Bosses: Idle $4.99 84 60% 2.5k $13k (exactly $12,575) Memoria Interactive
Pixel Pixie $6.99 32 100% 960 $6.7k (exactly $6,710) PlayGG.Doctor
journey of reincarnation $7.99 25 92% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) MSBgamadev
SacredStone $10.99 1 100% 30 $330 (exactly $330) 傑尼Jenne

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.