Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Auto Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Auto Battler Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Auto Battler

Only 7 developers shipped an Auto Battler Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.9k against a market of $1.5k. 18 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 5710% on the market, 18 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Auto Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Auto Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,918)
Top 25% $9.7k (exactly $9,712)
Top 5% $459k (exactly $458,816)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 28
Announced 18
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 5710% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Auto Battler
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,549 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $9.7k, 1 in 20 over $450k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator · EA $24.99 612 81% 18k $459k (exactly $458,816) Contec Games
Fish Game older $24.99 589 93% 18k $442k (exactly $441,573) A Shell in the Pit Games, Creative Ink… (A Shell in the Pit Games, Creative Ink Games)
Unholy Heights older $3.99 1,129 90% 34k $135k (exactly $135,141) Petit Depotto
Backpacker Guild $11.99 27 59% 810 $9.7k (exactly $9,712) RainbowStudio
Dungeon Market Simulator $9.99 22 40% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) DarkRook Interactive
Boom Bears on Stream older $9.99 22 95% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Hideout Games
Kanji Industry · EA older $6.99 26 92% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) Tsune Studio
Craft Craft Craft! older $6.99 23 69% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) Musa GUNGOR
Progress Bar Simulator older $0.99 91 86% 2.7k $2.7k (exactly $2,703) SpielmannSpiel, bison
Idle Pixels $7.99 8 0% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Pixel Labs
Cage Empire: MMA Manager · EA $14.99 2 50% 60 $899 (exactly $899) RedBit Labs
FLAAK TD $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Oedipe Games, Oedipe Games
Mystic Warfare · EA $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) SECRET PAPER

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.