Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Assassins

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Assassin Platformer?

Platformer + Assassins

Only 11 developers shipped an Assassin Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Neon Inferno, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×1.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $220k, ×151 the market median. Revenue is up 4765% on the market; 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 4765% on the market, 23 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Assassins
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $809 → $267 → $5.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Assassins: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,918)
Top 25% $79k (exactly $78,718)
Top 5% $227k (exactly $226,687)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 44
Announced 23
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4765% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Assassins
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Platformer
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 718 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $78k, 1 in 20 over $220k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mark of the Ninja: Remastered older $19.99 6,584 95% 198k $3.9M (exactly $3,948,425) Klei Entertainment
Assassin’s Creed® Chronicles: China older $9.99 3,658 73% 110k $1.1M (exactly $1,096,303) Climax Studios
STAR WARS™: Bounty Hunter™ older $19.99 1,160 83% 35k $696k (exactly $695,652) Aspyr
Touhou: Scarlet Curiosity older $14.99 1,219 91% 37k $548k (exactly $548,184) Ankake Spa
Assassin’s Creed® Chronicles: Russia older $9.99 1,252 58% 38k $375k (exactly $375,224) Climax Studios
Assassin’s Creed® Chronicles: India older $9.99 1,110 65% 33k $333k (exactly $332,667) Climax Studios
Neon Inferno $19.99 378 92% 11k $227k (exactly $226,687) Zenovia Interactive
Armed with Wings: Rearmed older $9.99 406 87% 12k $122k (exactly $121,678) Sun-Studios
The Siege and the Sandfox $14.99 180 64% 5.4k $81k (exactly $80,946) Cardboard Sword
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Empire City $24.99 105 76% 3.2k $79k (exactly $78,718) Cortopia Studios
KIYO - Bunny Tyranny $14.99 23 100% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Pixel Rats
Project Chameleon $9.99 19 100% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Anonymous King
Phantom Playhouse $7.99 8 62% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Kakytron
Ninjora Echoes $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) BUG-Studio
SZX $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Venagon
Wren's Resurgence $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Soliloquy Games
Pew Pew Gaem 3 $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Saem

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.