Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Artificial Intelligence

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an AI Platformer?

Platformer + Artificial Intelligence

Of 37 developers who shipped an AI Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 61 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 19 developers shipped in the last year and 61 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 435% on the market, 61 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Artificial Intelligence
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $299 → $3.3k → $0 → $267 → $120 → $628 (still earning) → $6.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Artificial Intelligence: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,256)
Top 5% $14k (exactly $13,786)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 140
Announced 61
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 435% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Artificial Intelligence
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 411 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.2k, 1 in 20 over $13k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 61 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Entropy Centre older $19.99 3,359 89% 101k $2.0M (exactly $2,014,392) Stubby Games
Will You Snail? older $10.99 2,509 97% 75k $827k (exactly $827,217) Jonas Tyroller
BIOMORPH older $19.99 642 91% 19k $385k (exactly $385,007) Lucid Dreams Studio
Vengeful Guardian: Moonrider older $16.99 489 85% 15k $249k (exactly $249,243) JoyMasher
NODE $24.99 146 91% 4.4k $109k (exactly $109,456) Lapsus Games
Shadow Gangs older $24.99 36 83% 1.1k $27k (exactly $26,989) JKM corp
Virtual Virtual Reality 2 older $19.99 40 52% 1.2k $24k (exactly $23,988) Tender Claws
默途 Monobot older $6.99 93 90% 2.8k $20k (exactly $19,502) DreamSmith Studio
Fumiko! older $6.99 90 82% 2.7k $19k (exactly $18,873) Fumiko Games
Platform $9.99 46 73% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) METAGAR
Warm Monkey $9.00 47 89% 1.4k $13k (exactly $12,690) Evprod
AI Faith: Compute [>_AIFC] $4.99 55 81% 1.7k $8.2k (exactly $8,234) Beneloop.ai
Animosity $14.99 15 93% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Red River Studio
Organic Evolution $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Gamesforgames
Fighties 2 $11.99 6 66% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Pillow Pig Games
NEON $0.99 61 37% 1.8k $1.8k (exactly $1,812) Logna Blue
Breakout $5.99 10 100% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) Willomena
Wriggle apple $2.99 14 78% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) WormWorld Studios, Sharkgame

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.