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Should I ship an Arena Shooter Immersive Sim?
Immersive Sim + Arena Shooter
Only 13 developers shipped an Arena Shooter Immersive Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, IRON REBELLION, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 17 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $59 (exactly $59) |
|---|---|
| Median | $356 (exactly $356) |
| Top 25% | $2.1k (exactly $2,098) |
| Top 5% | $579k (exactly $578,768) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 38 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Immersive Sim
- effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
- Arena Shooter
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Immersive Sim, Arena Shooter
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 968 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $59. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Trading Card GameStrong odds
- + MinigamesStrong odds
- + WesternStrong odds
- + BoxingStrong odds
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + RomanceFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Split ScreenFair
Comparable games
Fallen Aces 2024 · EA · $3.0M 
IRON REBELLION 2024 · $579k 
Dash Dash World 2021 · $110k 
Hell Road VR 2021 · $36k 
GOSDOOMA 2025 · EA · $18k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Fallen Aces | · EA older | $14.99 | 6,608 96% | 198k | $3.0M (exactly $2,971,618) | Trey Powell, Jason Bond |
| | IRON REBELLION | $24.99 | 772 84% | 23k | $579k (exactly $578,768) | Black Beach Studio | |
| | Dash Dash World | older | $24.99 | 147 74% | 4.4k | $110k (exactly $110,206) | MOTIONX STUDIO |
| | Hell Road VR | older | $19.99 | 60 85% | 1.8k | $36k (exactly $35,982) | Travolab Replay |
| | GOSDOOMA | · EA | $3.99 | 154 86% | 4.6k | $18k (exactly $18,434) | SHPATEL, Styrbo |
 | BATTLEWORKS VR | Online Physics Based PVP | · EA older | $24.99 | 7 42% | 210 | $5.2k (exactly $5,248) | Ritual Reality |
 | THE MEME HUNTER | older | $0.99 | 167 73% | 5.0k | $5.0k (exactly $4,960) | Performance Artist |
 | Clown Of Duty | older | $0.99 | 115 70% | 3.5k | $3.4k (exactly $3,416) | RIVERSIDE SPORTS |
 | Unrelaxing Quacks | older | $5.99 | 16 75% | 480 | $2.9k (exactly $2,875) | LogLog Games |
 | Revolver Gambit | · EA | $9.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | Welch Antony |
 | Machinicide | $9.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $2.1k (exactly $2,098) | Gravity Shenanigans | |
 | Echo Wars - Road Rage | $9.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | Ivanovich Games | |
 | Robot Fury: Mech Combat Simulator | · EA | $12.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) | Hard Shark Games |
 | Tactical Pulse | $0.99 | 12 16% | 360 | $356 (exactly $356) | Zero Degree Studio | |
 | Accurate Adjacent Ballistics Simulator | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | MagusForge | |
 | Yuki Onna: Snowball Fight! | $1.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $239 (exactly $239) | YStar | |
 | Void Breaker | $0.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | AA Mini Games Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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