Do I ship it?

GamesParty-Based RPGParty-Based RPG + Arcade

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arcade Party-Based RPG?

Party-Based RPG + Arcade

Only 18 developers shipped an Arcade Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Loot Loop, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×5.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×405 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 25 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 25 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Party-Based RPG + Arcade
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $55k → $5.4k → $63k → $4.6k → $5.1k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Party-Based RPG + Arcade: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $600 (exactly $600)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,598)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,909)
Top 5% $255k (exactly $254,640)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 48
Announced 25
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Party-Based RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Arcade
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Party-Based RPG, Arcade; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Auto Battler, Management
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, Retro, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,663 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Board GameFair24 devs · median $18k · 29 announced
  2. + Point & ClickFair17 devs · median $2.5k · 20 announced
  3. + 2D PlatformerFair55 devs · median $599 · 42 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $479 · 16 announced
  5. + Martial ArtsPoor odds5 devs · median $230k · 16 announced
  6. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $49k · 25 announced
  7. + SandboxPoor odds23 devs · median $34k · 71 announced
  8. + BuildingPoor odds12 devs · median $32k · 37 announced
  9. + AutomationPoor odds14 devs · median $21k · 28 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds67 devs · median $19k · 76 announced
  11. + Base BuildingPoor odds19 devs · median $19k · 51 announced
  12. + IncrementalPoor odds18 devs · median $15k · 45 announced

All 111 pairs on the Party-Based RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Loot Loop $4.99 1,701 93% 51k $255k (exactly $254,640) BitBrew
TrinityS older $14.99 182 69% 5.5k $82k (exactly $81,845) Indie-us Games
Final Knight · EA $13.99 180 77% 5.4k $76k (exactly $75,546) 2oclocksoft
Raid Auctus $4.99 423 56% 13k $63k (exactly $63,323) Cosmic Whale Studio
Dragon Ruins II $9.99 209 87% 6.3k $63k (exactly $62,637) Graverobber Foundation
Dragon Ruins older $4.99 365 90% 11k $55k (exactly $54,640) Graverobber Foundation
Gorgon Shield older $8.99 83 75% 2.5k $22k (exactly $22,385) Whiskeybarrel Studios
The Lord of the Parties older $15.99 38 68% 1.1k $18k (exactly $18,229) Magic Cube, Dizcon
Heroes Against Time $7.49 53 94% 1.6k $12k (exactly $11,909) David Vinokurov
Balance Breakers - A Battle Party Game · EA older $16.99 14 100% 420 $7.1k (exactly $7,136) Gamestry Lab
OLAPU · EA $10.99 21 100% 630 $6.9k (exactly $6,924) bati, dxriiia
Dragon Ruins II: Aftermath $9.99 23 91% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) Graverobber Foundation
YGGDRA: SURVIVOR $4.99 34 79% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) BD
Twilight Epoch $13.99 11 90% 330 $4.6k (exactly $4,617) chimp
Radiant: Guardians of Light $14.99 8 75% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) CHORRUS GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.