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Should I ship an Arcade Party-Based RPG?
Party-Based RPG + Arcade
Only 18 developers shipped an Arcade Party-Based RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Loot Loop, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×5.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×405 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 25 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $600 (exactly $600) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) |
| Top 25% | $12k (exactly $11,909) |
| Top 5% | $255k (exactly $254,640) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 48 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Party-Based RPG
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Arcade
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Party-Based RPG, Arcade; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Auto Battler, Management
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, Retro, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 2,663 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Party-Based RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Board GameFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + Martial ArtsPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + IncrementalPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Loot Loop | $4.99 | 1,701 93% | 51k | $255k (exactly $254,640) | BitBrew | |
| | TrinityS | older | $14.99 | 182 69% | 5.5k | $82k (exactly $81,845) | Indie-us Games |
| | Final Knight | · EA | $13.99 | 180 77% | 5.4k | $76k (exactly $75,546) | 2oclocksoft |
| | Raid Auctus | $4.99 | 423 56% | 13k | $63k (exactly $63,323) | Cosmic Whale Studio | |
| | Dragon Ruins II | $9.99 | 209 87% | 6.3k | $63k (exactly $62,637) | Graverobber Foundation | |
| | Dragon Ruins | older | $4.99 | 365 90% | 11k | $55k (exactly $54,640) | Graverobber Foundation |
| | Gorgon Shield | older | $8.99 | 83 75% | 2.5k | $22k (exactly $22,385) | Whiskeybarrel Studios |
| | The Lord of the Parties | older | $15.99 | 38 68% | 1.1k | $18k (exactly $18,229) | Magic Cube, Dizcon |
| | Heroes Against Time | $7.49 | 53 94% | 1.6k | $12k (exactly $11,909) | David Vinokurov | |
| | Balance Breakers - A Battle Party Game | · EA older | $16.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $7.1k (exactly $7,136) | Gamestry Lab |
| | OLAPU | · EA | $10.99 | 21 100% | 630 | $6.9k (exactly $6,924) | bati, dxriiia |
| | Dragon Ruins II: Aftermath | $9.99 | 23 91% | 690 | $6.9k (exactly $6,893) | Graverobber Foundation | |
| | YGGDRA: SURVIVOR | $4.99 | 34 79% | 1.0k | $5.1k (exactly $5,090) | BD | |
| | Twilight Epoch | $13.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $4.6k (exactly $4,617) | chimp | |
| | Radiant: Guardians of Light | $14.99 | 8 75% | 240 | $3.6k (exactly $3,598) | CHORRUS GAMES |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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