Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Aliens

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alien Platformer?

Platformer + Aliens

Of 86 developers who shipped an Alien Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 137 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, level with the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $49k, ×103 the market median. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 137 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 137 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Aliens
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 86
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $449 → $1.2k → $600 → $1.7k → $449 → $359 (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Aliens: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 86
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,593)
Top 5% $49k (exactly $49,017)
Developers, 2 yr 86
Released games 342
Announced 137
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Aliens
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 2D Platformer, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Side Scroller
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,375 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $49k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 46 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 137 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  2. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  3. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  5. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  6. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  7. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  8. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  9. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  10. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  11. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  12. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Axiom Verge older $19.99 5,834 90% 175k $3.5M (exactly $3,498,650) Thomas Happ Games LLC
Freedom Planet older $14.99 3,317 96% 100k $1.5M (exactly $1,491,655) GalaxyTrail
Zombotron older $14.99 2,974 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,337,408) Ant.Karlov Games
Contra: Operation Galuga older $39.99 810 87% 24k $972k (exactly $971,757) WayForward
Soda Crisis older $10.99 2,915 93% 87k $961k (exactly $961,076) Team Soda
Alien Hominid Invasion older $19.99 1,572 88% 47k $943k (exactly $942,728) The Behemoth
The Eternal Cylinder older $24.99 1,166 89% 35k $874k (exactly $874,150) ACE Team
Another World – 20th Anniversary Edition older $9.99 1,651 85% 50k $495k (exactly $494,805) Eric Chahi, DotEmu
Signs of Life · EA older $14.99 713 76% 21k $321k (exactly $320,636) Sweet Dog Studios
The Mobius Machine older $19.99 442 82% 13k $265k (exactly $265,067) Madruga Works
Planet Lust $14.99 335 76% 10k $151k (exactly $150,650) Skullgear
MARVEL MaXimum Collection $24.99 111 76% 3.3k $83k (exactly $83,217) Limited Run Games
Goodboy Galaxy $24.99 110 95% 3.3k $82k (exactly $82,467) Goodboy Galaxy Ltd.
ROLLING STAR $11.99 216 96% 6.5k $78k (exactly $77,695) NUL2 STUDIO
Super Roboy $14.99 109 93% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,017) Vincent Penning
Hyper Team Recon $19.99 74 100% 2.2k $44k (exactly $44,378) Nathan Burton
ChainStaff $14.99 84 92% 2.5k $38k (exactly $37,775) Mommy's Best Games
Xanthiom 2 $14.99 69 97% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) MathanGames
This Is No Cave $6.99 127 96% 3.8k $27k (exactly $26,632) monome.studio
ION Shift $5.99 140 90% 4.2k $25k (exactly $25,158) Electro Soul Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.