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Should I ship an Alien Card Battler?
Card Battler + Aliens
Only 18 developers shipped an Alien Card Battler in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Down with the Ship, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×5.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×773 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 28 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $539 (exactly $539) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.7k (exactly $2,698) |
| Top 25% | $17k (exactly $16,639) |
| Top 5% | $367k (exactly $367,405) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 34 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Card Battler
- effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic
- Aliens
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Card Battler; all of the top 25% also carry Deckbuilding, Roguelite, Strategy
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,336 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $540. 7 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Card Battler with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ArcadeFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + GamblingFair
- + 2D FighterFair
- + ZombiesFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + Party GameFair
- + SolitaireLong shot
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds
- + CRPGPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Down with the Ship | · EA | $14.99 | 817 93% | 25k | $367k (exactly $367,405) | Iron Anchor Games |
| | Stellar Orphans | $16.99 | 139 71% | 4.2k | $71k (exactly $70,848) | Artifex Parvus | |
| | Clonizer | $14.99 | 146 82% | 4.4k | $66k (exactly $65,656) | Juicy Plume | |
| | Corrupted: Dawn of Havoc | · EA older | $14.99 | 75 65% | 2.3k | $34k (exactly $33,728) | 36Litters |
| | Steve's Warehouse: Physics. Roguelike. Chaos. | $7.99 | 130 87% | 3.9k | $31k (exactly $31,161) | Definitely Named Steve | |
| | Planet Stronghold: Colonial Defense | older | $19.99 | 31 74% | 930 | $19k (exactly $18,591) | Winter Wolves |
| | OMEGA 6 The Triangle Stars | $14.99 | 37 91% | 1.1k | $17k (exactly $16,639) | Takaya Imamura, Happymeal, Pleocene | |
| | Forsaken Portals | older | $18.99 | 24 75% | 720 | $14k (exactly $13,673) | Pottgames |
| | Card Coder | $14.99 | 27 74% | 810 | $12k (exactly $12,142) | Prof. Scherer | |
| | Dark Cards | older | $9.99 | 23 69% | 690 | $6.9k (exactly $6,893) | Pixel Cattle Games |
| | Witchcrafter The TCG | $15.99 | 12 83% | 360 | $5.8k (exactly $5,756) | Spear Group Limited | |
| | Vox Populi: USA 2024 | $7.99 | 15 80% | 450 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Velsin | |
| | Hexitten | $14.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $3.1k (exactly $3,148) | Korkea Maki Studios | |
| | Star Scum | · EA | $14.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $2.7k (exactly $2,698) | Soft Realm |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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