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Should I ship an Alien Board Game?
Board Game + Aliens
Only 9 developers shipped an Alien Board Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Stellar Orphans, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $5.8k against a market of $480. 21 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.8k (exactly $5,756) |
| Top 25% | $37k (exactly $37,022) |
| Top 5% | $71k (exactly $70,848) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 44 |
| Announced | 21 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $12.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 640% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Board Game
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
- Aliens
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Board Game
- Price point
- $12.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 2,200 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Board Game with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Party-Based RPGFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + JRPGFair
- + Local Co-OpFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + SpaceFair
- + Alternate HistoryFair
- + MahjongFair
- + Party GameFair
- + DragonsFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Nemesis: Lockdown | older | $24.99 | 732 68% | 22k | $549k (exactly $548,780) | InterStudio |
| | Gaia Project | older | $24.99 | 351 80% | 11k | $263k (exactly $263,145) | DIGIDICED |
| | The Banished Vault | older | $24.99 | 189 78% | 5.7k | $142k (exactly $141,693) | Lunar Division |
| | Stellar Orphans | $16.99 | 139 71% | 4.2k | $71k (exactly $70,848) | Artifex Parvus | |
| | Space Food Truck | older | $9.99 | 216 71% | 6.5k | $65k (exactly $64,735) | One Man Left Studios |
| | Galaxy Trucker: Extended Edition | older | $9.99 | 213 89% | 6.4k | $64k (exactly $63,836) | CGE Digital |
| | Amberspire | $24.99 | 58 86% | 1.7k | $43k (exactly $43,483) | Lunar Division | |
| | The Captain is Dead | older | $19.99 | 66 78% | 2.0k | $40k (exactly $39,580) | Thunderbox Entertainment |
| | Eclipse - 2nd Dawn for the Galaxy | $12.99 | 95 57% | 2.9k | $37k (exactly $37,022) | BrettspielWelt GmbH | |
| | Smash Up | older | $6.99 | 141 60% | 4.2k | $30k (exactly $29,568) | Nomad Games |
| | Astro Protocol | $11.99 | 66 93% | 2.0k | $24k (exactly $23,740) | Null Vector Studios | |
| | Witchcrafter The TCG | $15.99 | 12 83% | 360 | $5.8k (exactly $5,756) | Spear Group Limited | |
| | UniWar | $7.99 | 14 71% | 420 | $3.4k (exactly $3,356) | Spooky House | |
| | Space Memory TDG | $4.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | TDG Gaming Studio | |
| | Teamfight Royale | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Festucs Interactive | |
| | HexSwarm: Hostile Worlds | $29.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Studio in Progress |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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