Do I ship it?

GamesImmersive SimImmersive Sim + Agriculture

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Agriculture Immersive Sim?

Immersive Sim + Agriculture

Of 51 developers who shipped an Agriculture Immersive Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 97 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.0k, ×4.7 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $1.2M, ×867 the market median. Revenue is up 130% on the market; 97 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 130% on the market, 97 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Immersive Sim + Agriculture
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 51
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $20k → $27k → $78k → $13k → $2.4k → $1.8k → $4.7k (still earning) → $16k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Immersive Sim + Agriculture: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 51
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $7.0k (exactly $7,036)
Top 25% $35k (exactly $35,439)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,298,600)
Developers, 2 yr 51
Released games 131
Announced 97
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 130% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Immersive Sim
effort 8 / 10 · low · effort 8 sits in the low band
Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Immersive Sim, Agriculture; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Farming Sim, Life Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Relaxing, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 35,055 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $7.0k, 1 in 4 over $35k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 8 in 10 of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 97 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Immersive Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds112 devs · median $63k · 58 announced
  2. + Trading Card GameStrong odds18 devs · median $30k · 13 announced
  3. + MinigamesStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  4. + WesternStrong odds17 devs · median $4.4k · 14 announced
  5. + BoxingStrong odds16 devs · median $2.7k · 12 announced
  6. + Job SimulatorFair152 devs · median $20k · 180 announced
  7. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $17k · 10 announced
  8. + Dating SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  9. + RomanceFair254 devs · median $12k · 266 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Fair87 devs · median $11k · 93 announced
  11. + Visual NovelFair399 devs · median $7.8k · 453 announced
  12. + Split ScreenFair12 devs · median $6.0k · 14 announced

All 219 pairs on the Immersive Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Medieval Dynasty older $34.99 43,074 90% 1.3M $45M (exactly $45,214,778) Render Cube
Farming Simulator 22 older $19.99 69,477 93% 2.1M $42M (exactly $41,665,357) GIANTS Software
Farthest Frontier $34.99 24,444 86% 733k $26M (exactly $25,658,867) Crate Entertainment
Eco · EA older $29.99 11,375 80% 341k $10M (exactly $10,234,088) Strange Loop Games
Rival Stars Horse Racing: Desktop Edition older $29.99 5,032 91% 151k $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290) PikPok
Train Sim World® 5 $39.99 3,028 80% 91k $3.6M (exactly $3,632,692) Dovetail Games
Roots of Pacha older $24.99 3,779 93% 113k $2.8M (exactly $2,833,116) Soda Den
No Place Like Home older $19.99 3,784 78% 114k $2.3M (exactly $2,269,265) Chicken Launcher
Farmer's Life older $19.99 2,373 89% 71k $1.4M (exactly $1,423,088) FreeMind S.A.
Old Market Simulator $9.99 4,333 87% 130k $1.3M (exactly $1,298,600) Alcedo Games
Farmer's Dynasty 2 · EA $24.99 1,225 72% 37k $918k (exactly $918,382) UMEO Studios
Farm to Table · EA $14.99 645 91% 19k $290k (exactly $290,056) indieGiant
World End Diner $16.99 415 93% 12k $212k (exactly $211,525) Andymente
Japanese Rural Life Adventure $24.99 238 80% 7.1k $178k (exactly $178,429) G-MODE, GAME START LLC
Rancher: A new life · EA $19.99 265 64% 8.0k $159k (exactly $158,920) Sim Farm S.A.
Ranch Farm and Store Simulator $12.99 252 84% 7.6k $98k (exactly $98,204) Bewolba Studios
ACRES $14.99 210 80% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Jimi Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.