Do I ship it?

GamesAdventureAdventure + Werewolves

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Werewolf Adventure game?

Adventure + Werewolves

Of 44 developers who shipped a Werewolf Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 61 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×9.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×350 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 61 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 61 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Adventure + Werewolves
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.1k → $12k → $5.2k → $7.3k → $9.6k → $3.6k → $2.7k (still earning) → $20k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Adventure + Werewolves: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Median $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $23,581)
Top 5% $166k (exactly $166,402)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 138
Announced 61
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Adventure
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Werewolves
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Adventure; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Dating Sim, Action
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 3,696 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.1k, median $4.5k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 7 in 10 of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 61 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SamuraiFair13 devs · median $261k · 14 announced
  2. + FMVFair144 devs · median $39k · 151 announced
  3. + PinballFair11 devs · median $8.1k · 17 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair40 devs · median $6.3k · 50 announced
  5. + Escape RoomFair165 devs · median $2.2k · 151 announced
  6. + Mini GolfFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 11 announced
  7. + SportsFair228 devs · median $1.5k · 224 announced
  8. + GolfFair18 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair384 devs · median $1.2k · 420 announced
  10. + Time AttackFair33 devs · median $599 · 33 announced
  11. + Traditional RoguelikeFair89 devs · median $449 · 119 announced
  12. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds10 devs · median $561k · 7 announced

All 279 pairs on the Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Raging Loop older $29.99 10,568 95% 317k $9.5M (exactly $9,508,030) KEMCO
Werewolf: The Apocalypse - Earthblood older $29.99 1,463 69% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,316,261) Cyanide Studio
Project Werewulf $29.99 778 83% 23k $700k (exactly $699,967) FTRGameStudio
Virgo Versus The Zodiac older $19.99 790 92% 24k $474k (exactly $473,763) Moonana
Werewolf: The Apocalypse — Heart of the Forest older $14.99 805 83% 24k $362k (exactly $362,008) Different Tales
Chronicles of the Wolf $19.99 417 82% 13k $250k (exactly $250,075) Migami Games
GIBZ older $5.99 1,321 88% 40k $237k (exactly $237,384) Torrunt
Overcast - Walden and the Werewolf older $4.99 1,236 61% 37k $185k (exactly $185,029) Microblast Games
The Seven Realms: High Lathión $12.99 427 80% 13k $166k (exactly $166,402) SeptCloud Games
Werewolf: The Apocalypse — The Book of Hungry Names older $19.99 234 92% 7.0k $140k (exactly $140,330) Choice of Games
Monster College $9.99 435 95% 13k $130k (exactly $130,370) Monster Eye Games
Wolf Mate $6.99 613 93% 18k $129k (exactly $128,546) eTIRUe
No Socks RPG $9.99 286 92% 8.6k $86k (exactly $85,714) Spicyfuse
Break Wolf $11.99 171 98% 5.1k $62k (exactly $61,509) RE Atelier
Sloppy Fields · EA $9.79 201 95% 6.0k $59k (exactly $59,034) PixelPanzone
Haunted Lands $5.99 251 77% 7.5k $45k (exactly $45,105) alevgor
A College of Thirst & Claws · EA $11.99 117 73% 3.5k $42k (exactly $42,085) SeptCloud Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.