Games › Adventure › Adventure + Vikings
Should I ship a Viking Adventure game?
Adventure + Vikings
Only 14 developers shipped a Viking Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Viking Frontiers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×3.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×513 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 30 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.3k (exactly $2,307) |
| Top 25% | $5.4k (exactly $5,397) |
| Top 5% | $322k (exactly $322,039) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 61 |
| Announced | 30 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Adventure
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 69% positive over 1,137 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SamuraiFair
- + FMVFair
- + PinballFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + SportsFair
- + GolfFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
Comparable games
Assassin's Creed Valhalla 2022 · $74M 
Hellblade II: Senua’s Saga 2024 · $14M 
The Banner Saga 2014 · $10M 
Expeditions: Viking 2017 · $3.0M 
Vikings - Wolves of Midgard 2017 · $2.5M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Assassin's Creed Valhalla | older | $59.99 | 41,083 70% | 1.2M | $74M (exactly $73,937,075) | Ubisoft Montreal |
| | Hellblade II: Senua’s Saga | older | $49.99 | 9,381 86% | 281k | $14M (exactly $14,068,686) | Ninja Theory |
| | The Banner Saga | older | $24.99 | 13,470 88% | 404k | $10M (exactly $10,098,459) | Stoic |
| | Expeditions: Viking | older | $29.99 | 3,293 82% | 99k | $3.0M (exactly $2,962,712) | Logic Artists |
| | Vikings - Wolves of Midgard | older | $29.99 | 2,808 58% | 84k | $2.5M (exactly $2,526,358) | Games Farm |
 | The Banner Saga 2 | older | $24.99 | 3,186 89% | 96k | $2.4M (exactly $2,388,544) | Stoic |
 | The Banner Saga 3 | older | $24.99 | 2,647 77% | 79k | $2.0M (exactly $1,984,456) | Stoic |
 | Jotun: Valhalla Edition | older | $14.99 | 2,215 77% | 66k | $996k (exactly $996,086) | Thunder Lotus |
 | Dead In Vinland | older | $27.80 | 1,175 78% | 35k | $980k (exactly $979,950) | Ishtar Games |
 | Apsulov: End of Gods | older | $19.99 | 1,509 86% | 45k | $905k (exactly $904,947) | Angry Demon Studio |
 | Viking Frontiers | $19.99 | 537 51% | 16k | $322k (exactly $322,039) | BLUM Entertainment | |
 | Vikings: Sex and Blood | $14.99 | 155 62% | 4.7k | $70k (exactly $69,704) | DreamBig Games | |
 | FIND ALL 5: Vikings | $1.99 | 370 95% | 11k | $22k (exactly $22,089) | Very Very LITTLE Studio | |
 | Ashen Arrows | $17.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $5.4k (exactly $5,397) | Rusty Pipes Games | |
 | Toward The Ice | $14.99 | 12 41% | 360 | $5.4k (exactly $5,396) | Dragon Dropper | |
 | Trolls vs Vikings: Reborn | $5.99 | 28 92% | 840 | $5.0k (exactly $5,032) | Megapop | |
 | Grendel's Cave | $6.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $2.3k (exactly $2,307) | Grendel Enterprises, L.L.C. | |
 | The Last Nordic Tribe | $5.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $2.0k (exactly $1,977) | Never Say Never | |
 | Thor - God of Thunder | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Outlaw Games |
 | ViCrew | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Matthias Denk |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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