Do I ship it?

GamesAdventureAdventure + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Solitaire Adventure game?

Adventure + Solitaire

Of 35 developers who shipped a Solitaire Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 18 developers shipped in the last year and 44 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 44 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Adventure + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $748 → $178 → $239 → $419 → $120 → $479 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Adventure + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $17,538)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 165
Announced 44
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Adventure
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Adventure, Solitaire; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Puzzle, Card Game
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 2D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 599 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $210, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SamuraiFair13 devs · median $261k · 14 announced
  2. + FMVFair144 devs · median $39k · 151 announced
  3. + PinballFair11 devs · median $8.1k · 17 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair40 devs · median $6.3k · 50 announced
  5. + Escape RoomFair165 devs · median $2.2k · 151 announced
  6. + Mini GolfFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 11 announced
  7. + SportsFair228 devs · median $1.5k · 224 announced
  8. + GolfFair18 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair384 devs · median $1.2k · 420 announced
  10. + Time AttackFair33 devs · median $599 · 33 announced
  11. + Traditional RoguelikeFair89 devs · median $449 · 119 announced
  12. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds10 devs · median $561k · 7 announced

All 279 pairs on the Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Faerie Solitaire older $14.99 1,361 89% 41k $612k (exactly $612,042) Subsoap
Ancient Enemy older $16.99 386 89% 12k $197k (exactly $196,744) Grey Alien Games
Tested on Humans: Escape Room older $9.99 434 87% 13k $130k (exactly $130,070) mc2games
Picross Fairytale - nonogram: Red Riding Hood secret older $14.99 235 73% 7.1k $106k (exactly $105,680) Somer Games
Queens Casino $9.99 311 98% 9.3k $93k (exactly $93,207) sartahouse
Faerie Solitaire Harvest older $14.99 143 79% 4.3k $64k (exactly $64,307) Subsoap
Mosaics Galore older $14.99 111 75% 3.3k $50k (exactly $49,917) Creobit
Last Resort Island older $8.99 173 87% 5.2k $47k (exactly $46,658) rokaplay
Solitaire Christmas. Match 2 Cards older $14.99 88 72% 2.6k $40k (exactly $39,574) Creobit
Lenin - The Lion older $11.99 102 90% 3.1k $37k (exactly $36,689) Lornyon
Dark Atlas: Infernum $14.99 39 82% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,538) Night Council Studio
Grizzly Man $8.99 52 90% 1.6k $14k (exactly $14,024) LCB Game Studio
Myth Monkey Card $5.99 62 100% 1.9k $11k (exactly $11,141) Myth Card Studio
Tales of The Nightmares™ Episode One $4.50 53 88% 1.6k $7.2k (exactly $7,155) RedDot Studios
No Vacancy Tonight $8.99 24 100% 720 $6.5k (exactly $6,473) Momiji Games
Avalon Jewels 2 Collector's Edition $14.99 11 90% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Anawiki Games
Seven Seas Jewels 2 Collector's Edition $15.99 6 100% 180 $2.9k (exactly $2,878) Anawiki Games
Forest 6174 $2.99 29 82% 870 $2.6k (exactly $2,601) itandfeel
Emily_ $3.99 12 100% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Tetrabyte Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.