Do I ship it?

GamesAdventureAdventure + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack Adventure game?

Adventure + Score Attack

Of 220 developers who shipped a Score Attack Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 273 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $89; 1 in 20 cleared $96k, ×203 the market median. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 273 games are announced against 120 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 273 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Adventure + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 220
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $898 → $898 → $419 → $1.4k → $298 → $538 → $449 (still earning) → $135 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Adventure + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 220
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $4,046)
Top 5% $96k (exactly $96,268)
Developers, 2 yr 220
Released games 745
Announced 273
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Adventure
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Adventure, Score Attack; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 37,713 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $450, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $96k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 9 in 10 of the 121 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 273 games are announced against 120 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SamuraiFair13 devs · median $261k · 14 announced
  2. + FMVFair144 devs · median $39k · 151 announced
  3. + PinballFair11 devs · median $8.1k · 17 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair40 devs · median $6.3k · 50 announced
  5. + Escape RoomFair165 devs · median $2.2k · 151 announced
  6. + Mini GolfFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 11 announced
  7. + SportsFair228 devs · median $1.5k · 224 announced
  8. + GolfFair18 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair384 devs · median $1.2k · 420 announced
  10. + Time AttackFair33 devs · median $599 · 33 announced
  11. + Traditional RoguelikeFair89 devs · median $449 · 119 announced
  12. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds10 devs · median $561k · 7 announced

All 279 pairs on the Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hitman: Absolution™ older $19.99 49,637 93% 1.5M $30M (exactly $29,767,309) Io-Interactive A/S
SONIC X SHADOW GENERATIONS $49.99 12,178 96% 365k $18M (exactly $18,263,347) Sonic Team
Bomb Rush Cyberfunk older $39.99 12,645 98% 379k $15M (exactly $15,170,206) Team Reptile
Metal: Hellsinger older $29.99 13,989 96% 420k $13M (exactly $12,585,903) The Outsiders
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 $59.99 2,879 83% 86k $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336) CyberConnect2
Orcs Must Die! older $9.99 6,663 95% 200k $2.0M (exactly $1,996,901) Robot Entertainment
Denshattack! $19.99 2,910 98% 87k $1.7M (exactly $1,745,127) Undercoders
Greedland $12.99 2,919 83% 88k $1.1M (exactly $1,137,534) VaMP He
Revita older $16.99 1,734 83% 52k $884k (exactly $883,820) BenStar
Bloodshed $12.99 1,824 84% 55k $711k (exactly $710,813) com8com1 Software
Big Helmet Heroes $24.99 678 78% 20k $508k (exactly $508,297) Exalted Studio
Helskate $24.99 301 65% 9.0k $226k (exactly $225,660) Phantom Coast
Truck-kun is Supporting Me from Another World?! $19.99 238 83% 7.1k $143k (exactly $142,729) Strange Scaffold
MotionRec $9.99 430 99% 13k $129k (exactly $128,871) HANDSUM

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.