Do I ship it?

GamesAdventureAdventure + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Adventure game?

Adventure + Precision Platformer

Of 676 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 794 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $35k, ×74 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 794 games are announced against 355 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 794 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Adventure + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 676
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $629 → $720 → $598 → $1.0k → $599 → $479 → $599 (still earning) → $315 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Adventure + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 676
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $3.2k (exactly $3,229)
Top 5% $35k (exactly $35,365)
Developers, 2 yr 676
Released games 1,993
Announced 794
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Adventure
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Adventure, Precision Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, 2D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 27,726 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $35k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 387 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 794 games are announced against 355 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SamuraiFair13 devs · median $261k · 14 announced
  2. + FMVFair144 devs · median $39k · 151 announced
  3. + PinballFair11 devs · median $8.1k · 17 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair40 devs · median $6.3k · 50 announced
  5. + Escape RoomFair165 devs · median $2.2k · 151 announced
  6. + Mini GolfFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 11 announced
  7. + SportsFair228 devs · median $1.5k · 224 announced
  8. + GolfFair18 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair384 devs · median $1.2k · 420 announced
  10. + Time AttackFair33 devs · median $599 · 33 announced
  11. + Traditional RoguelikeFair89 devs · median $449 · 119 announced
  12. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds10 devs · median $561k · 7 announced

All 279 pairs on the Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Celeste older $19.99 132,072 97% 4.0M $79M (exactly $79,203,578) Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Ga… (Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Games, Ltd.)
SANABI older $14.99 41,700 97% 1.3M $19M (exactly $18,752,490) WONDER POTION
BlazBlue Entropy Effect older $19.99 30,410 94% 912k $18M (exactly $18,236,877) 91Act
Super Meat Boy older $14.99 30,031 93% 901k $14M (exactly $13,504,941) Team Meat
Neon White older $24.99 17,259 97% 518k $13M (exactly $12,939,072) Angel Matrix
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown older $29.99 6,754 84% 203k $6.1M (exactly $6,076,574) Ubisoft Montpellier
Jump King older $12.99 12,342 90% 370k $4.8M (exactly $4,809,677) Nexile
Hot Lava older $19.99 5,335 92% 160k $3.2M (exactly $3,199,399) Klei Entertainment
Heavenly Bodies older $19.99 3,741 95% 112k $2.2M (exactly $2,243,478) 2pt Interactive
Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered $29.99 1,507 89% 45k $1.4M (exactly $1,355,848) Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics
Get To Work $12.99 3,456 88% 104k $1.3M (exactly $1,346,803) Isto Inc.
Luna Abyss $29.99 923 86% 28k $830k (exactly $830,423) Kwalee Labs
Fever Meme $4.20 4,358 91% 131k $549k (exactly $549,108) Aimbok
JUMP KING QUEST $14.99 1,202 88% 36k $541k (exactly $540,539) Nexile
LEGO® Horizon Adventures™ $39.99 403 60% 12k $483k (exactly $483,479) Guerrilla Games, Studio Gobo
Egging On $14.99 747 74% 22k $336k (exactly $335,926) Egobounds
Windswept $19.99 470 92% 14k $282k (exactly $281,859) WeatherFell
Level Devil $6.99 1,304 91% 39k $273k (exactly $273,449) Unept

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.