Do I ship it?

GamesAdventureAdventure + Mining

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mining Adventure game?

Adventure + Mining

Of 171 developers who shipped a Mining Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 320 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $610k, ×1292 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 320 games are announced against 108 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 320 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Adventure + Mining
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 171
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.7k → $13k → $7.2k → $6.0k → $2.1k → $5.3k → $1.3k (still earning) → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Adventure + Mining: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 171
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Top 25% $38k (exactly $38,376)
Top 5% $614k (exactly $613,792)
Developers, 2 yr 171
Released games 401
Announced 320
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Adventure
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Adventure, Mining; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Crafting, Sandbox
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 55,110 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $38k, 1 in 20 over $610k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 7 in 10 of the 76 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 320 games are announced against 108 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SamuraiFair13 devs · median $261k · 14 announced
  2. + FMVFair144 devs · median $39k · 151 announced
  3. + PinballFair11 devs · median $8.1k · 17 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair40 devs · median $6.3k · 50 announced
  5. + Escape RoomFair165 devs · median $2.2k · 151 announced
  6. + Mini GolfFair12 devs · median $2.2k · 11 announced
  7. + SportsFair228 devs · median $1.5k · 224 announced
  8. + GolfFair18 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair384 devs · median $1.2k · 420 announced
  10. + Time AttackFair33 devs · median $599 · 33 announced
  11. + Traditional RoguelikeFair89 devs · median $449 · 119 announced
  12. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds10 devs · median $561k · 7 announced

All 279 pairs on the Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ICARUS older $34.99 55,849 75% 1.7M $59M (exactly $58,624,695) RocketWerkz
My Time at Portia older $29.99 34,844 91% 1.0M $31M (exactly $31,349,147) Pathea Games
My Time at Sandrock older $39.99 24,110 88% 723k $29M (exactly $28,924,767) Pathea Games
Coral Island older $29.99 21,828 89% 655k $20M (exactly $19,638,652) Stairway Games
Sun Haven older $24.99 22,069 79% 662k $17M (exactly $16,545,129) Pixel Sprout Studios
Hydroneer older $14.99 27,131 85% 814k $12M (exactly $12,200,811) Foulball Hangover
Gold Mining Simulator older $19.99 15,132 72% 454k $9.1M (exactly $9,074,660) Code Horizon
Luma Island $19.99 11,204 84% 336k $6.7M (exactly $6,719,039) Feel Free Games
UnderMine older $19.99 9,284 90% 279k $5.6M (exactly $5,567,615) Thorium
Melvor Idle older $9.99 14,630 90% 439k $4.4M (exactly $4,384,611) Games by Malcs
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
A Game About Digging A Hole™ $4.99 18,785 89% 564k $2.8M (exactly $2,812,114) DoubleBee
AETHUS $19.99 2,030 94% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,217,391) Pawsmonaut Games
Planet Centauri $14.99 2,102 75% 63k $945k (exactly $945,269) Permadeath
Return from Core $16.99 1,620 75% 49k $826k (exactly $825,714) 顽核社 FuncoreClub
The Spotter: Dig or Die $12.99 1,792 84% 54k $698k (exactly $698,342) Puppyroar Games
Wall World 2 $11.99 1,749 73% 52k $629k (exactly $629,115) Alawar
Keep Digging $6.99 2,927 79% 88k $614k (exactly $613,792) Wild Dog
UnderMine 2 · EA $19.99 828 75% 25k $497k (exactly $496,552) Thorium

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.