Games › Adventure › Adventure + Birds
Should I ship a Bird Adventure game?
Adventure + Birds
Only 13 developers shipped a Bird Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Duck Detective: The Ghost of Glamping, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.0k, ×15 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $770k, ×1622 the market median. Revenue is up 260% on the market; 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.0k (exactly $7,012) |
| Top 25% | $48k (exactly $47,904) |
| Top 5% | $771k (exactly $770,529) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Exploration, Multiple Endings
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Stylized, 2.5D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 3,769 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SamuraiFair
- + FMVFair
- + PinballFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + SportsFair
- + GolfFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
Comparable games
Duck Detective: The Secret Salami 2024 · $1.8M 
Hatoful Boyfriend 2014 · $1.7M 
A Bird Story 2014 · $982k 
Duck Detective: The Ghost of Glamping 2025 · $771k 
Aviary Attorney 2015 · $519k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Duck Detective: The Secret Salami | older | $9.99 | 6,128 94% | 184k | $1.8M (exactly $1,836,562) | Happy Broccoli Games |
| | Hatoful Boyfriend | older | $9.99 | 5,533 94% | 166k | $1.7M (exactly $1,658,240) | Mediatonic, Hato Moa |
| | A Bird Story | older | $3.99 | 8,205 85% | 246k | $982k (exactly $982,138) | Freebird Games |
| | Duck Detective: The Ghost of Glamping | $9.99 | 2,571 96% | 77k | $771k (exactly $770,529) | Happy Broccoli Games | |
| | Aviary Attorney | older | $14.99 | 1,155 94% | 35k | $519k (exactly $519,404) | Sketchy Logic |
 | Flock | older | $19.99 | 250 94% | 7.5k | $150k (exactly $149,925) | Hollow Ponds, Richard Hogg |
 | Feather | older | $9.99 | 496 84% | 15k | $149k (exactly $148,651) | Samurai Punk |
 | Hatoful Boyfriend: Holiday Star | older | $9.99 | 469 94% | 14k | $141k (exactly $140,559) | Mediatonic |
 | GuGu Pizza : Delivering Pizza to the Space Station? Boss, this is just not right! | $6.99 | 517 87% | 16k | $108k (exactly $108,415) | AnomalyGuys | |
 | VORON: Raven’s Story | $9.99 | 199 90% | 6.0k | $60k (exactly $59,640) | Merk Games | |
 | Birds Watching | $4.99 | 320 86% | 9.6k | $48k (exactly $47,904) | Studio Ortica | |
 | Dodo Duckie | $11.99 | 80 98% | 2.4k | $29k (exactly $28,776) | BornMonkie | |
 | Toroa: Skycall | $12.99 | 36 94% | 1.1k | $14k (exactly $14,029) | Atawhai Interactive | |
 | Wizard of Wings: Escape | $8.99 | 26 65% | 780 | $7.0k (exactly $7,012) | Keycube | |
 | Birds Hunter | · EA | $17.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $3.8k (exactly $3,778) | Bassel Laoun |
 | Kitty Loves Birds | $4.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $1.3k (exactly $1,347) | Claudiu V. | |
 | Stellaluna | $9.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Brøderbund, Jordan Freeman Group, Livin… (Brøderbund, Jordan Freeman Group, Living Books, Wanderful Interactive Storybooks) |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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