Games › Basketball › Basketball + Adventure
Should I ship an Adventure Basketball game?
Basketball + Adventure
Only 8 developers shipped an Adventure Basketball game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Midnight Hoops, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $5.7k against a market of $1.5k. 10 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $899 (exactly $899) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.7k (exactly $5,694) |
| Top 25% | $23k (exactly $23,377) |
| Top 5% | $27k (exactly $27,431) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 10 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 635% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Basketball
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Adventure
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Basketball, Adventure
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 2,718 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Basketball with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + PvPFair
- + SimulationFair
- + PhysicsLong shot
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Local MultiplayerPoor odds
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + StrategyPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + ArcadePoor odds
- + Immersive SimDead
- + PlatformerDead
Comparable games
Umamusume: Pretty Derby - Party Dash 2024 · $1.9M 
New Retro Arcade: Neon 2016 · $347k 
Pile Up! Box by Box 2021 · $28k 
Midnight Hoops 2026 · $27k 
Basketboy's Adventure 2026 · $23k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Umamusume: Pretty Derby - Party Dash | older | $44.99 | 1,429 75% | 43k | $1.9M (exactly $1,928,721) | Cygames, Inc., Arc System Works |
| | New Retro Arcade: Neon | older | $19.99 | 579 78% | 17k | $347k (exactly $347,226) | Digital Cybercherries |
| | Pile Up! Box by Box | older | $14.99 | 63 92% | 1.9k | $28k (exactly $28,331) | Seed by Seed |
| | Midnight Hoops | $3.49 | 262 89% | 7.9k | $27k (exactly $27,431) | netshrub | |
| | Basketboy's Adventure | $9.99 | 78 78% | 2.3k | $23k (exactly $23,377) | greenteagame1 | |
 | Class Escape | older | $6.99 | 97 95% | 2.9k | $20k (exactly $20,341) | OneMac |
 | Arcade Paradise VR | older | $19.99 | 26 42% | 780 | $16k (exactly $15,592) | Nosebleed Interactive |
 | BasketBelle | older | $4.99 | 84 80% | 2.5k | $13k (exactly $12,575) | Studio Bean |
 | StreetStep: 21st Century Basketball | older | $9.99 | 29 82% | 870 | $8.7k (exactly $8,691) | Melko Game Club |
 | Hoop Fighters: Party Basketball | · EA | $3.99 | 71 88% | 2.1k | $8.5k (exactly $8,499) | Team K6 |
 | Dunkadillo | $9.99 | 19 100% | 570 | $5.7k (exactly $5,694) | Thomas K. Young | |
 | Mike the Hooper | $3.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) | Steel Arrow | |
 | Shoot Up Basketball Pro | $9.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | mindoverloadgames | |
 | BoxBox | $4.50 | 1 100% | 30 | $135 (exactly $135) | Josip Horvat HardHatDev | |
 | Kidduca 3D | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | RMB Games - Free learning games fo Kids… (RMB Games - Free learning games fo Kids, RMB Games - Educational Academy) |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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