Games › Adventure › Adventure + Based On A Novel
Should I ship a Novel-Based Adventure game?
Adventure + Based On A Novel
Only 5 developers shipped a Novel-Based Adventure game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Edgar Allan Poe's Interactive Horror: 1995 Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.3k against a market of $480. 4 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $713 (exactly $713) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) |
| Top 25% | $3.6k (exactly $3,588) |
| Top 5% | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 78 |
| Announced | 4 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Adventure
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Based On A Novel
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Adventure
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 452,598 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. 4 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SamuraiFair
- + FMVFair
- + PinballFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + Escape RoomFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + SportsFair
- + GolfFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
Comparable games
Metro 2033 Redux 2014 · $57M 
The Witcher 2: Assassins of Kings Enhanced Edition 2012 · $49M 
Metro: Last Light Redux 2014 · $43M 
Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™ 2014 · $38M 
The Witcher: Enhanced Edition Director's Cut 2008 · $24M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Metro 2033 Redux | older | $19.99 | 94,968 91% | 2.8M | $57M (exactly $56,952,310) | 4A Games |
| | The Witcher 2: Assassins of Kings Enhanced Edition | older | $19.99 | 80,882 89% | 2.4M | $49M (exactly $48,504,935) | CD PROJEKT RED |
| | Metro: Last Light Redux | older | $19.99 | 71,435 91% | 2.1M | $43M (exactly $42,839,570) | 4A Games |
| | Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™ | older | $19.99 | 63,815 92% | 1.9M | $38M (exactly $38,269,856) | Monolith Productions |
| | The Witcher: Enhanced Edition Director's Cut | older | $9.99 | 81,712 89% | 2.5M | $24M (exactly $24,489,086) | CD PROJEKT RED |
 | Alice: Madness Returns | older | $9.99 | 27,795 90% | 834k | $8.3M (exactly $8,330,162) | Spicy Horse Games |
 | Record of Lodoss War-Deedlit in Wonder Labyrinth- | older | $19.99 | 7,132 92% | 214k | $4.3M (exactly $4,277,060) | Team Ladybug, WSS playground |
 | Ken Follett's The Pillars of the Earth | older | $19.99 | 5,926 92% | 178k | $3.6M (exactly $3,553,822) | Daedalic Entertainment |
 | The Incredible Adventures of Van Helsing | older | $14.99 | 7,720 83% | 232k | $3.5M (exactly $3,471,684) | NeocoreGames |
 | Mount & Blade: With Fire & Sword | older | $9.99 | 11,213 87% | 336k | $3.4M (exactly $3,360,536) | TaleWorlds Entertainment |
 | Edgar Allan Poe's Interactive Horror: 1995 Edition | $9.99 | 21 95% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) | Inscape, GMedia | |
 | Veins of DARKNESS | $2.99 | 40 87% | 1.2k | $3.6k (exactly $3,588) | Langonier | |
 | Nemunai | $6.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) | DavMY Studios | |
 | The Cats of Monte Cristo | $0.99 | 24 83% | 720 | $713 (exactly $713) | Snkl Studio | |
 | Tale of the Leading star | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 废材炼金术士 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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