Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + Vehicular Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vehicular Combat Action RPG?

Action RPG + Vehicular Combat

Only 19 developers shipped a Vehicular Combat Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pax Autocratica, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 33 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper, while revenue is up 1030% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 1030% on the market, 33 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Vehicular Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $178 → $6.7k → $13k (still earning) → $75 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + Vehicular Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $628 (exactly $628)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $15,290)
Top 5% $2.9M (exactly $2,880,839)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 43
Announced 33
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1030% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Vehicular Combat
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Vehicular Combat; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action Roguelike, RPG, Action
Price point
$6.00 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.00.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 4,264 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $630, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $2.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 33 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Avorion older $24.99 13,001 90% 390k $9.7M (exactly $9,746,850) Boxelware
Pax Autocratica · EA $29.99 3,202 91% 96k $2.9M (exactly $2,880,839) Multiverse
SAND LAND older $59.99 1,018 86% 31k $1.8M (exactly $1,832,095) ILCA, Inc.
METAL MAX Xeno Reborn older $39.99 444 65% 13k $533k (exactly $532,667) 24Frame,inc.
DuneCrawl $19.99 568 74% 17k $341k (exactly $340,630) Alientrap
Tankenstein · EA $17.99 238 89% 7.1k $128k (exactly $128,449) Landship Games LTD
Megacopter: Blades of the Goddess older $9.99 220 91% 6.6k $66k (exactly $65,934) Pizza Bear Games
Stonefly older $16.99 116 88% 3.5k $59k (exactly $59,125) Flight School Studio
Endgame: Road To Salvation · EA older $11.99 156 97% 4.7k $56k (exactly $56,113) Indie/Anon Games
Boiling Point: Road to Hell older $9.99 127 72% 3.8k $38k (exactly $38,062) Deep Shadows
Driveloop: Survivors · EA $9.99 96 76% 2.9k $29k (exactly $28,771) Stunbyte
RoadOut $14.99 34 97% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Rastrolabs Game Studio
Duneborn $11.99 35 51% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,590) A.P Games
Threads of War $4.99 45 97% 1.4k $6.7k (exactly $6,736) KoS
Agony Increment $7.99 17 100% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Parish Softworks
Hovercrafts x Nihilism $6.00 22 86% 660 $4.0k (exactly $3,960) soomr
Sail of Dreams $2.99 7 100% 210 $628 (exactly $628) DreamDwarf

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.