Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + Turn-Based

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Action RPG?

Action RPG + Turn-Based

Only 10 developers shipped a Turn-Based Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sora no Kiseki the 1st, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $8.7k against a market of $1.5k. 5 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 5.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 16955% on the market, 5 announced, ×1.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Turn-Based
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $355k → $864k → $3.8k → $101k
Outcomes for Action RPG + Turn-Based: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Median $8.7k (exactly $8,683)
Top 25% $825k (exactly $825,187)
Top 5% $9.4M (exactly $9,367,438)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 57
Announced 5
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $17.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 16955% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Turn-Based
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Turn-Based
Price point
$17.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 93% positive over 8,140 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $8.7k, 1 in 4 over $820k, 1 in 20 over $9.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 5 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Like a Dragon: Infinite Wealth older $69.99 16,339 90% 490k $34M (exactly $34,306,998) RGG Studio
Wandering Sword older $24.99 37,034 94% 1.1M $28M (exactly $27,764,390) The Swordman Studio
Transistor older $19.99 27,993 93% 840k $17M (exactly $16,787,402) Supergiant Games
Sora no Kiseki the 1st $59.99 5,205 97% 156k $9.4M (exactly $9,367,438) Nihon Falcom
FINAL FANTASY® XIII older $15.99 16,314 74% 489k $7.8M (exactly $7,825,826) Square Enix
Fate Seeker older $21.09 11,930 90% 358k $7.5M (exactly $7,548,111) JSL Entertainment
Ni no Kuni Wrath of the White Witch™ Remastered older $49.99 4,023 83% 121k $6.0M (exactly $6,033,293) LEVEL5 Inc., QLOC
Eiyuden Chronicle: Hundred Heroes older $49.99 3,164 75% 95k $4.7M (exactly $4,745,051) Rabbit & Bear Studios
Wasteland 2: Director's Cut older $29.99 4,664 82% 140k $4.2M (exactly $4,196,201) inXile Entertainment
FINAL FANTASY® XIII-2 older $19.99 5,136 58% 154k $3.1M (exactly $3,080,059) Square Enix
Metal Slug Tactics $24.99 1,152 76% 35k $864k (exactly $863,654) Leikir Studio
Wicked Seed $19.99 1,376 94% 41k $825k (exactly $825,187) Dead Right Games
Swords & Souls Legacy Collection $9.99 337 94% 10k $101k (exactly $100,999) SoulGame Studio
Beat the Humans $4.99 58 74% 1.7k $8.7k (exactly $8,683) Dochungryest
Seoul Exorcist 1111 $17.99 7 100% 210 $3.8k (exactly $3,778) Snow Games
Throne Requiem $19.99 4 25% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Michael Richard Lannon
The Moon Ate The Sun - A Realtime Turn Based RPG $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Omnia
GraeHart $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Cole Hardin
Galdromeda $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) rediskdev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.