Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + Tower Defense

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tower Defense Action RPG?

Action RPG + Tower Defense

Of 40 developers who shipped a Tower Defense Action RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 68 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. 68 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper, while revenue is down 35% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 68 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Tower Defense
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $14k → $899 → $2.3k → $2.6k → $958 → $150 → $839 (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + Tower Defense: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $5.1k (exactly $5,095)
Top 5% $278k (exactly $277,915)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 119
Announced 68
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 110% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Tower Defense
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Tower Defense; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Action, RPG
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.49 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Isometric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.49 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,689 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $720, 1 in 4 over $5.0k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 68 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Riftbreaker older $29.99 22,127 90% 664k $20M (exactly $19,907,662) EXOR Studios
Cultivation Tales older $19.99 12,560 38% 377k $7.5M (exactly $7,532,232) Ac Games
Dungeon Defenders older $14.99 12,148 93% 364k $5.5M (exactly $5,462,956) Chromatic Games
Dungeon Defenders: Awakened older $14.99 3,264 67% 98k $1.5M (exactly $1,467,821) Chromatic Games
DRAGON QUEST HEROES™ Slime Edition older $39.99 1,150 67% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,379,655) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
ENDLESS Dungeon™ - Definitive Edition older $14.99 2,953 64% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,327,964) AMPLITUDE Studios
Deathtrap older $19.99 1,858 84% 56k $1.1M (exactly $1,114,243) NeocoreGames
The Incredible Adventures of Van Helsing II older $14.99 1,954 70% 59k $879k (exactly $878,714) NeocoreGames
Lumencraft older $19.99 1,086 75% 33k $651k (exactly $651,274) 2Dynamic Games
Decision: Red Daze older $19.99 855 74% 26k $513k (exactly $512,743) FlyAnvil
Machine Mind $19.99 567 71% 17k $340k (exactly $340,030) Chudo-Yudo Games
Castle Of Alchemists $14.99 618 80% 19k $278k (exactly $277,915) Team Machiavelli
Decision Legacy Collection $9.99 171 83% 5.1k $51k (exactly $51,249) FlyAnvil
WARSHIFT 2 $19.99 54 70% 1.6k $32k (exactly $32,384) Cyril Megem
Bonelords $6.99 94 92% 2.8k $20k (exactly $19,712) Z0 Game Studios
Dark Bone Prison $5.99 84 95% 2.5k $15k (exactly $15,095) Bunny Moon Shady
Frontier Paladin $16.49 30 70% 900 $15k (exactly $14,841) Singular Scheme
Divinity Vassals $11.99 36 75% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,949) Yi
Clockfall · EA $9.99 18 94% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Rever Games GmbH
Dawnhold $9.99 17 100% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Alex Spalvieri

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.