Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + Superhero

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Superhero Action RPG?

Action RPG + Superhero

Only 7 developers shipped a Superhero Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lost Soul Aside™, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×9.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.8k against a market of $1.5k. 27 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 27 announced, ×9.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Superhero
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $18k → $11k → $6.3k
Outcomes for Action RPG + Superhero: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,797)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,296)
Top 5% $2.4M (exactly $2,352,208)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 44
Announced 27
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Superhero
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 69% positive over 21,590 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $2.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gotham Knights older $59.99 15,688 68% 471k $28M (exactly $28,233,694) Warner Bros. Games Montréal, QLOC
Lost Soul Aside™ $59.99 1,307 59% 39k $2.4M (exactly $2,352,208) Ultizero Games
Werewolf: The Apocalypse - Earthblood older $29.99 1,463 69% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,316,261) Cyanide Studio
9 Days older $14.99 2,198 72% 66k $988k (exactly $988,441) MVR
Fallen Hero: Retribution older $11.99 415 97% 12k $149k (exactly $149,276) Hosted Games
Dusk Diver 2 older $49.99 75 88% 2.3k $112k (exactly $112,478) Wanin International
Solas City Heroes older $19.99 179 88% 5.4k $107k (exactly $107,346) Skyflare Studios, MrZGames
Widow in the Endless Labyrinth older $14.99 133 78% 4.0k $60k (exactly $59,810) Hajime Doujin Circle
Apex Heroines older $19.99 91 87% 2.7k $55k (exactly $54,573) XIAOXIAO STUDIO
Turbo Chicken Simulator · EA older $14.99 41 87% 1.2k $18k (exactly $18,438) Balkanware
Kebabstar 🌯⭐ · EA $14.99 14 78% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Zeybek
Redneck Brawl Turbo $12.99 10 90% 300 $3.9k (exactly $3,897) Kolossus Games
Lone Warrior's Fist $5.99 10 100% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) CreatiCell Games
Lucky Pikinini - Advanced Killer Cyborg $1.99 2 50% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Lucky Pikinini
Super Chroma Bots : SEASON ONE $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) NecroCatic Games
Enlil: Rise Of the End · EA $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) HAPPYTECH

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.