Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + Real-Time

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Real-Time Action RPG?

Action RPG + Real-Time

Only 5 developers shipped a Real-Time Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tower of Mask, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $6.7k against a market of $1.5k. 4 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 4.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 4 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Real-Time
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Action RPG + Real-Time: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,349)
Median $6.7k (exactly $6,746)
Top 25% $32k (exactly $32,384)
Top 5% $118k (exactly $117,703)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 38
Announced 4
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 75% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Real-Time
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Real-Time
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 23,284 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $6.7k, 1 in 4 over $32k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 4 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
She Will Punish Them · EA older $15.99 17,164 86% 515k $8.2M (exactly $8,233,571) L2 Games
Shadows: Awakening older $29.99 1,535 75% 46k $1.4M (exactly $1,381,040) Games Farm
Vaporum older $19.99 998 84% 30k $599k (exactly $598,501) Fatbot Games, s. r. o.
Nevergrind Online older $15.99 1,221 86% 37k $586k (exactly $585,714) Neverworks Games
WARTILE older $19.99 601 75% 18k $360k (exactly $360,420) Playwood Project
Earth 2160 older $9.99 754 70% 23k $226k (exactly $225,974) Reality Pump Studios
Drox Operative 2 older $19.99 275 89% 8.3k $165k (exactly $164,918) Soldak Entertainment
Tower of Mask $10.99 357 95% 11k $118k (exactly $117,703) Papertip Studio
Zombasite older $19.99 194 76% 5.8k $116k (exactly $116,342) Soldak Entertainment
Din's Legacy older $19.99 185 77% 5.6k $111k (exactly $110,944) Soldak Entertainment
WARSHIFT 2 $19.99 54 70% 1.6k $32k (exactly $32,384) Cyril Megem
Remnants of the Rift $14.99 15 86% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Bromio
RAIDING PARTY · EA $14.99 3 100% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Skull Splitter Studios
Kraktures $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Deggy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.