Do I ship it?

Games › Action RPG › Action RPG + Mining

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mining Action RPG?

Action RPG + Mining

Of 21 developers who shipped a Mining Action RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $410, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 42 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper, while revenue is down 30% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 42 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Mining
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.9k → $5.8k → $10k → $824 → $299 → $58k → $299 (still earning) → $358 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + Mining: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $408 (exactly $408)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $19,760)
Top 5% $826k (exactly $825,714)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 67
Announced 42
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.49

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Mining; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Crafting
Price point
$5.49 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $5.49.

The top 10 games average 58% positive over 15,660 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $410, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $820k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Quinfall 2026 · $3.6M Star Valor 2022 · $2.5M Immortal Life 2024 · $2.0M Return from Core 2025 · $826k Lumencraft 2023 · $651k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
Star Valor older $24.99 3,272 88% 98k $2.5M (exactly $2,453,018) Rafael Burgos
Immortal Life older $16.99 3,853 79% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,963,874) YiFang Studio
Return from Core $16.99 1,620 75% 49k $826k (exactly $825,714) 顽核社 FuncoreClub
Lumencraft older $19.99 1,086 75% 33k $651k (exactly $651,274) 2Dynamic Games
Swarm Grinder older $7.99 1,163 76% 35k $279k (exactly $278,771) Last Bite Games
Prodigal older $14.99 584 91% 18k $263k (exactly $262,625) Colorgrave
Stonewards · EA $9.99 806 94% 24k $242k (exactly $241,558) Banana Tiger Studio
Below the Stone · EA older $14.99 391 83% 12k $176k (exactly $175,833) Strollart
Eventide Matter $5.99 927 95% 28k $167k (exactly $166,582) Ottropi Games
Surviving Mars: Pioneer $24.99 78 83% 2.3k $58k (exactly $58,477) Bolverk Games
Mining Survivors $4.99 132 74% 4.0k $20k (exactly $19,760) Wonderbounce Games
Goblin: Mutation $3.00 14 21% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,260) richard
Survive the Wild The First Howl · EA $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Four Paws Game Studio
Cyber Dungeon X Monster Girls $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) PixelSeraF
Tempered Forge: Lands of Mine $5.49 5 100% 150 $824 (exactly $824) Sticklen Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.