Do I ship it?

Games › Action RPG › Action RPG + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Action RPG?

Action RPG + Logic

Of 24 developers who shipped a Logic Action RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 13 developers shipped in the last year and 40 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 40 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $510 → $39k → $239 → $239 → $0 (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 5% $101k (exactly $100,543)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 61
Announced 40
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Logic; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 912 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $240, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Lost Judgment 2022 · $9.0M Atomcraft 2026 · $183k The Last FARMER 2024 · $101k Era of Miracles 2019 · $95k Killer: Infected One of Us 2021 · $41k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lost Judgment older $39.99 7,461 93% 224k $9.0M (exactly $8,950,962) RGG Studio
Atomcraft $14.99 407 94% 12k $183k (exactly $183,028) Triplejump
The Last FARMER $12.99 258 56% 7.7k $101k (exactly $100,543) Geekon
Era of Miracles older $29.99 106 75% 3.2k $95k (exactly $95,368) Argentum Gaming
Killer: Infected One of Us older $6.99 196 52% 5.9k $41k (exactly $41,101) DreamTeamGames
Emergency Call 112 - The Attack Squad $14.99 86 48% 2.6k $39k (exactly $38,674) Crenetic
Zombodesert older $49.99 12 91% 360 $18k (exactly $17,996) Gamesforgames
Spaceship Driver License older $49.99 11 100% 330 $16k (exactly $16,497) Gamesforgames
Flying Tobacco Eggs older $39.99 13 84% 390 $16k (exactly $15,596) Gamesforgames
The Deletion older $1.99 188 76% 5.6k $11k (exactly $11,224) russpuppy
The Auto Sort Is Broken $2.99 93 80% 2.8k $8.3k (exactly $8,342) Fractal Projects
The Legend of Shiande $2.99 46 100% 1.4k $4.1k (exactly $4,126) Thales Caus
Maniac Path 3 $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Gamesforgames
Hexateria $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Jakub Nejman
Noire Police Detective: Gangster Drama Simulator · EA $5.99 4 25% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Meraki Tech
Emergent Magic $5.99 3 33% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Charredfire productions
The Visitor Effect: Not an experiment $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Mystic Morgue

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.