Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + Grid-Based Movement

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Grid-Based Movement Action RPG?

Action RPG + Grid-Based Movement

Only 18 developers shipped a Grid-Based Movement Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tower of Mask, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $110k, ×79 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 39 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 39 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Grid-Based Movement
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $9.0k → $6.7k → $3.8k → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + Grid-Based Movement: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,302)
Top 5% $118k (exactly $117,703)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 52
Announced 39
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Grid-Based Movement; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Action, Action Roguelike
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Isometric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 488 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Classified: France '44 older $39.99 844 70% 25k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,547) Absolutely Games
FIGHT KNIGHT older $19.99 1,547 91% 46k $928k (exactly $927,736) Team Sorcerobe
Vaporum older $19.99 998 84% 30k $599k (exactly $598,501) Fatbot Games, s. r. o.
Operencia: The Stolen Sun older $29.99 537 76% 16k $483k (exactly $483,139) Zen Studios
Archaelund · EA older $24.99 417 84% 13k $313k (exactly $312,625) 4 Dimension Games
Tower of Mask $10.99 357 95% 11k $118k (exactly $117,703) Papertip Studio
Heroes of the Monkey Tavern older $7.99 346 74% 10k $83k (exactly $82,936) Monkey Stories
Islands of the Caliph older $9.99 272 88% 8.2k $82k (exactly $81,518) Schmidt Workshops
Touhou Spell Carnival $49.99 49 77% 1.5k $73k (exactly $73,485) Idea Factory, Compile Heart, STING
Aeon of Sands - The Trail older $16.79 111 85% 3.3k $56k (exactly $55,911) Two Bits Kid
Slayer : the Demon Haunted World $12.99 19 68% 570 $7.4k (exactly $7,404) PLAY Mephistowaltz
Remnants of the Rift $14.99 15 86% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Bromio
Trial of Ariah $11.95 12 91% 360 $4.3k (exactly $4,302) 30 Minute Games
[English] AbsentedAge 2: Ghostbound $15.99 8 100% 240 $3.8k (exactly $3,838) terunon's Lab
babe-lathe $6.99 11 100% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,307) tjern
VERLIES III - Resurrection · EA $17.99 3 100% 90 $1.6k (exactly $1,619) Koya Game, Artifex Parvus
BROKEN SOUL : Boss Rush $12.99 4 75% 120 $1.6k (exactly $1,559) DoubleJLabs
Cursed Soul $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) DakeCraft

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.