Do I ship it?

Games › Action RPG › Action RPG + Gothic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gothic Action RPG?

Action RPG + Gothic

Of 58 developers who shipped a Gothic Action RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 116 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.3k, ×2.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $5.4M, ×3658 the market median. Revenue is up 505% on the market; 116 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 505% on the market, 116 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Gothic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $190k → $2.5k → $332k → $3.9k → $719 → $1.4k → $27k (still earning) → $989 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + Gothic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $4.3k (exactly $4,315)
Top 25% $89k (exactly $88,688)
Top 5% $5.5M (exactly $5,480,073)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 145
Announced 116
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 505% on the market, supply 105% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Gothic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Action, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 74,813 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $4.3k, 1 in 4 over $88k, 1 in 20 over $5.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 7 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 116 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Lies of P 2023 · $105M No Rest for the Wicked 2024 · EA · $79M Gothic 1 Remake 2026 · $39M ASTLIBRA Revision 2022 · $23M Vampire: The Masquerade - Bloodlines 2007 · $8.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lies of P older $59.99 58,411 91% 1.8M $105M (exactly $105,122,277) NEOWIZ
No Rest for the Wicked · EA older $39.99 66,102 80% 2.0M $79M (exactly $79,302,569) Moon Studios GmbH
Gothic 1 Remake $49.99 26,258 88% 788k $39M (exactly $39,379,123) Alkimia Interactive
ASTLIBRA Revision older $24.99 30,262 95% 908k $23M (exactly $22,687,421) KEIZO
Vampire: The Masquerade - Bloodlines older $19.99 13,889 94% 417k $8.3M (exactly $8,329,233) Troika Games
Gothic 1 older $19.99 13,172 91% 395k $7.9M (exactly $7,899,248) Piranha Bytes
Gothic II: Gold Edition older $19.99 12,637 93% 379k $7.6M (exactly $7,578,409) Piranha Bytes
Thymesia older $24.99 8,262 82% 248k $6.2M (exactly $6,194,021) OverBorder Studio
Halls of Torment $6.66 30,752 95% 923k $6.1M (exactly $6,144,250) Chasing Carrots
ELEX II older $49.99 4,015 73% 120k $6.0M (exactly $6,021,296) Piranha Bytes
Of Ash and Steel $29.99 6,091 66% 183k $5.5M (exactly $5,480,073) Fire & Frost
VOIN · EA $19.99 3,319 94% 100k $2.0M (exactly $1,990,404) Nikita Sozidar
Crimson Moon $19.99 2,760 59% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,655,172) ProbablyMonsters
Grimlord $29.99 927 78% 28k $834k (exactly $834,022) Metalcat Interactive Co.,Ltd
Sin Spire $9.99 1,580 88% 47k $474k (exactly $473,526) Krasue Games
Shadow Dungeon $9.99 1,387 78% 42k $416k (exactly $415,684) OO Cat
Netherworld Covenant $19.99 597 78% 18k $358k (exactly $358,021) MadGoat Game Studio
Night Swarm $9.99 1,142 78% 34k $342k (exactly $342,257) Fubu Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.