Do I ship it?

Games › Action RPG › Action RPG + Flight

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Flight Action RPG?

Action RPG + Flight

Of 21 developers who shipped a Flight Action RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×7.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 50 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.1 per shipper, while revenue is up 535% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 535% on the market, 50 announced, ×7.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Flight
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $5.4k → $23k → $178 → $359 → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + Flight: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $178 (exactly $178)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $839 (exactly $839)
Top 5% $10k (exactly $10,195)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 81
Announced 50
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 535% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Flight; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action-Adventure, RPG
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 149 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $360, 1 in 4 over $830, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

EVERSPACE™ 2 2023 · $18M Avorion 2020 · $9.7M Between the Stars 2024 · $1.8M Spirit Realm 2024 · EA · $752k The Brew Barons 2024 · $546k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
EVERSPACE™ 2 older $49.99 12,040 85% 361k $18M (exactly $18,056,388) ROCKFISH Games
Avorion older $24.99 13,001 90% 390k $9.7M (exactly $9,746,850) Boxelware
Between the Stars older $29.99 1,965 75% 59k $1.8M (exactly $1,767,910) Isolated Games
Spirit Realm · EA older $18.18 1,379 76% 41k $752k (exactly $752,107) 深圳市灵境互娱科技有限公司
The Brew Barons older $21.99 828 75% 25k $546k (exactly $546,232) Lifetap Studios
Draconia · EA older $19.99 798 64% 24k $479k (exactly $478,561) Draconia Dev Team
Nienix: Cosmic Warfare older $19.99 336 87% 10k $201k (exactly $201,499) HolmCom
Lumione older $11.99 418 73% 13k $150k (exactly $150,355) Glimmer Studio
Touhou Mechanical Scrollery | 幻想討幻経 older $19.99 243 53% 7.3k $146k (exactly $145,727) 巫女さん作法
HELL GALAXY $24.99 89 74% 2.7k $67k (exactly $66,723) Italian Games Factory
Undead: Rise of the Betrayed King · EA $19.99 17 70% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) Artak Avetisyan
Tutien Path $14.99 16 81% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Truong Thanh Triet
Starfield Battlegrounds $6.99 13 69% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) 谭浩翔
我的修仙世界My Xiuxian World $16.99 2 50% 60 $1.0k (exactly $1,019) CUI PU XING
Gravity Break · EA $13.99 2 100% 60 $839 (exactly $839) bakspace interactive, Kristian Bak, Dan… (bakspace interactive, Kristian Bak, Daniel Clifton, Nanna Fjord)
Cockroach Simulation $6.99 3 0% 90 $629 (exactly $629) WIZWIN
Dragon Expedition $5.99 3 33% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Eternal Studio
Iron Skies $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Matthew Lalande
Ignisia · EA $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Dracula's Cat

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.