Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + Fishing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Fishing Action RPG?

Action RPG + Fishing

Of 24 developers who shipped a Fishing Action RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced, ×5.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $7.6k, ×5.1 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $1.8M, ×1251 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 55 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.1 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 55 announced, ×5.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Fishing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.3k → $9.0k → $16k → $2.2k → $13k → $2.1k (still earning) → $16k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + Fishing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $7.6k (exactly $7,645)
Top 25% $263k (exactly $263,074)
Top 5% $1.9M (exactly $1,874,630)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 68
Announced 55
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Fishing
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Fishing; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Character Customization
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 29,767 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $7.6k, 1 in 4 over $260k, 1 in 20 over $1.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 5 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
Potion Permit older $19.99 4,358 78% 131k $2.6M (exactly $2,613,493) MassHive Media
Immortal Life older $16.99 3,853 79% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,963,874) YiFang Studio
FlyKnight $5.99 10,432 96% 313k $1.9M (exactly $1,874,630) Wabbaboy
Mirthwood $24.99 2,242 69% 67k $1.7M (exactly $1,680,827) Bad Ridge Games
Rogue Heroes: Ruins of Tasos older $19.99 2,705 77% 81k $1.6M (exactly $1,622,188) Heliocentric Studios
Nice Day for Fishing $19.99 2,609 86% 78k $1.6M (exactly $1,564,617) FusionPlay
Cryptmaster older $24.99 1,671 94% 50k $1.3M (exactly $1,252,749) Paul Hart, Lee Williams, Akupara Games
FATE older $7.99 4,092 95% 123k $981k (exactly $980,852) WildTangent
Rune Factory 3 Special older $39.99 734 94% 22k $881k (exactly $880,580) Marvelous Inc.
FATE: Reawakened $24.99 758 73% 23k $568k (exactly $568,273) gamigo US Inc., Tableflip Entertainment… (gamigo US Inc., Tableflip Entertainment AB)
Sea Fantasy $14.99 585 86% 18k $263k (exactly $263,074) METASLA
Luminary · EA $19.99 343 74% 10k $206k (exactly $205,697) Refractive Entertainment
Starlight Revolver · EA $12.99 404 54% 12k $157k (exactly $157,439) Pahdo Labs
Knights End $7.99 286 90% 8.6k $69k (exactly $68,554) Knight Shift Studios
Category 6 $14.99 35 68% 1.1k $16k (exactly $15,740) Crafty Game Lab

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.