Do I ship it?

Games › Action RPG › Action RPG + Farming Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Sim Action RPG?

Action RPG + Farming Sim

Of 30 developers who shipped a Farming Sim Action RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×2.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $1.6M, ×1122 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 62 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 62 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Farming Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.1k → $716 → $57k → $94k → $26k → $748 → $659 (still earning) → $3.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + Farming Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $28,186)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,680,827)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 71
Announced 62
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Farming Sim; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Crafting, Exploration
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, 2D, Cartoony
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 9,182 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $28k, 1 in 20 over $1.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 6 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Rune Factory: Guardians of Azuma 2025 · $5.3M HARVESTELLA 2022 · $3.7M Immortal Life 2024 · $2.0M Mirthwood 2024 · $1.7M Rune Factory 3 Special 2023 · $881k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rune Factory: Guardians of Azuma $59.99 2,947 88% 88k $5.3M (exactly $5,303,716) Marvelous Inc.
HARVESTELLA older $59.99 2,071 77% 62k $3.7M (exactly $3,727,179) Square Enix
Immortal Life older $16.99 3,853 79% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,963,874) YiFang Studio
Mirthwood $24.99 2,242 69% 67k $1.7M (exactly $1,680,827) Bad Ridge Games
Rune Factory 3 Special older $39.99 734 94% 22k $881k (exactly $880,580) Marvelous Inc.
Return from Core $16.99 1,620 75% 49k $826k (exactly $825,714) 顽核社 FuncoreClub
Kitaria Fables older $19.99 1,253 73% 38k $751k (exactly $751,424) Twin Hearts, Secret Level Studios
Dinotica $17.99 746 86% 22k $403k (exactly $402,616) XA Studio
欺神弄鬼 · EA $9.99 802 91% 24k $240k (exactly $240,359) 猫台班子工作室 Cat Caboodle
Pesticide Not Required older $6.50 816 93% 24k $159k (exactly $159,120) Jampacked Games
Planet Lust $14.99 335 76% 10k $151k (exactly $150,650) Skullgear
The Last FARMER $12.99 258 56% 7.7k $101k (exactly $100,543) Geekon
Farmagia $49.99 63 46% 1.9k $94k (exactly $94,481) Marvelous Inc.
Grimoire Groves $19.99 47 82% 1.4k $28k (exactly $28,186) Stardust
The Dream Within $6.99 122 81% 3.7k $26k (exactly $25,583) Roaming of Little Hammer

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.