Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + Driving

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Driving Action RPG?

Action RPG + Driving

Only 15 developers shipped a Driving Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Promise Mascot Agency, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.4k, ×3.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.9M, ×1286 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 32 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 32 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Driving
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $18k → $8.4k → $1.6k → $29k → $2.4k → $5.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + Driving: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Median $5.4k (exactly $5,395)
Top 25% $29k (exactly $28,771)
Top 5% $1.9M (exactly $1,925,979)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 63
Announced 32
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Driving
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle handling feel is tuned by hand

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Driving; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Action, Action Roguelike
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 5,235 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $5.4k, 1 in 4 over $28k, 1 in 20 over $1.9M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Promise Mascot Agency $24.99 2,569 96% 77k $1.9M (exactly $1,925,979) Kaizen Game Works
Wanderburg · EA $14.99 2,103 78% 63k $946k (exactly $945,719) Randwerk
Juice Galaxy · EA older $4.99 1,244 98% 37k $186k (exactly $186,227) Fishlicka
Taora : Survival · EA older $13.99 353 55% 11k $148k (exactly $148,154) Tulpar Games
Tornado: Research and Rescue · EA older $12.99 356 85% 11k $139k (exactly $138,733) Sam Kennedy
Swords & Souls Legacy Collection $9.99 337 94% 10k $101k (exactly $100,999) SoulGame Studio
fox soldier older $14.99 199 98% 6.0k $89k (exactly $89,490) yousoi, sadboy
Endgame: Road To Salvation · EA older $11.99 156 97% 4.7k $56k (exactly $56,113) Indie/Anon Games
Boiling Point: Road to Hell older $9.99 127 72% 3.8k $38k (exactly $38,062) Deep Shadows
Driveloop: Survivors · EA $9.99 96 76% 2.9k $29k (exactly $28,771) Stunbyte
RoadOut $14.99 34 97% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Rastrolabs Game Studio
THE DARK SIDE OF CECLON $14.99 29 86% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) SOLIDS Studio
Combat Kart $12.99 14 100% 420 $5.5k (exactly $5,456) 01Game
Tornado Chaser $9.99 18 88% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) maxdev
Hovercrafts x Nihilism $6.00 22 86% 660 $4.0k (exactly $3,960) soomr
Starfield Battlegrounds $6.99 13 69% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) 谭浩翔

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.