Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + Combat Racing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Racing Action RPG?

Action RPG + Combat Racing

Only 13 developers shipped a Combat Racing Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Duneborn, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper, while revenue is up 5940% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 5940% on the market, 20 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Combat Racing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $298 → $59 → $1.8k
Outcomes for Action RPG + Combat Racing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $298 (exactly $298)
Top 25% $5.5k (exactly $5,456)
Top 5% $13k (exactly $12,590)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 36
Announced 20
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 5940% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Combat Racing
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 257 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $300, 1 in 4 over $5.4k, 1 in 20 over $12k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SAND LAND older $59.99 1,018 86% 31k $1.8M (exactly $1,832,095) ILCA, Inc.
Duck Life 9: The Flock older $9.99 190 83% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,943) Wix Games
Duneborn $11.99 35 51% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,590) A.P Games
Code Velocity $2.99 99 100% 3.0k $8.9k (exactly $8,880) STIM GAMES
Meddl Dash older $0.99 218 98% 6.5k $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Rainer Zufall
Tides of The Endless · EA $7.99 25 84% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Shimmer High Sea
Combat Kart $12.99 14 100% 420 $5.5k (exactly $5,456) 01Game
Awaken older $9.99 14 42% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Beijing Xianfan Culture Co., Ltd.
Rose Action older $4.99 25 32% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) Ma Ge Game
Zero-G-Racer : Drone FPV arcade game older $9.99 8 25% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Zero-G-Racer
MEMOLOGY: Absurd racing $0.99 59 94% 1.8k $1.8k (exactly $1,752) Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm
Carnage Kart X · EA $4.99 11 90% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Two Brain Games
The Fallen Kingdom $1.99 5 100% 150 $298 (exactly $298) Lucas Baldi Aragão
Escape From kiss $1.99 3 33% 90 $179 (exactly $179) CE JIN_策今, MI YU Studio_谜予网络游戏工作室
Drone Strike: Engineer Simulator · EA $1.19 5 80% 150 $178 (exactly $178) Bazura Games
Song Of Aria $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Cyan Candle

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.