Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + Auto Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Auto Battler Action RPG?

Action RPG + Auto Battler

Only 19 developers shipped an Auto Battler Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Skull Horde, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180. 54 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper, while revenue is down 95% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 54 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Auto Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $20k → $2.3k → $22k → $49k → $269 (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + Auto Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $22,438)
Top 5% $422k (exactly $422,045)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 64
Announced 54
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Auto Battler; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelike, Action Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 2,384 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $750, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mini Healer · EA older $7.99 2,239 87% 67k $537k (exactly $536,688) Sad Doge
Skull Horde $12.99 1,083 81% 32k $422k (exactly $422,045) 8BitSkull
Just King older $4.99 1,362 89% 41k $204k (exactly $203,891) VISH
Legionbound $9.99 671 83% 20k $201k (exactly $201,099) Spicy Garlic Games
Godslayer Arena · EA $14.99 257 76% 7.7k $116k (exactly $115,573) Hippo Rider Games
Towerful Defense: A Rogue TD older $9.99 209 70% 6.3k $63k (exactly $62,637) Mini Fun Games
Into the Restless Ruins $14.99 109 83% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,017) Ant Workshop Ltd
The Merchant's Guide to the Kingdom · EA older $19.99 67 68% 2.0k $40k (exactly $40,180) Bearplane
Loot Hero DX older $2.99 338 71% 10k $30k (exactly $30,319) VaragtP
Wandness: WandCraft Survivor $6.99 107 74% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,438) Knight Owl Games, Binary Lunar
Fight To The Death $2.99 113 76% 3.4k $10k (exactly $10,136) Amrita
Bahast $4.99 24 62% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) FC Tech Labs
Desktop Hellfarmer $2.99 12 66% 360 $1.1k (exactly $1,076) Fesunenko Games
Pixel Three Kingdoms: Zombie Dungeon $9.99 3 33% 90 $899 (exactly $899) YYTGAME
Widget Warriors $4.99 5 0% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Vespertine Game

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.