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Should I ship an Asynchronous Multiplayer Action RPG?
Action RPG + Asynchronous Multiplayer
Only 8 developers shipped an Asynchronous Multiplayer Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rise of the Ronin, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×7.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $55k against a market of $1.5k. 22 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $55k (exactly $55,313) |
| Top 25% | $854k (exactly $854,145) |
| Top 5% | $9.8M (exactly $9,752,549) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 22 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 37%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Action RPG
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Asynchronous Multiplayer
- effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Action RPG, Asynchronous Multiplayer
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 70% positive over 9,858 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. 2 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + NavalFair
- + Local Co-OpFair
- + WesternFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + WuxiaPoor odds
- + Character Action GamePoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Bullet HeavenPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Rise of the Ronin | $49.99 | 6,503 64% | 195k | $9.8M (exactly $9,752,549) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. | |
| | Dwarven Realms | $9.99 | 2,850 81% | 86k | $854k (exactly $854,145) | Crater Studios | |
| | Barbaria | older | $19.99 | 129 93% | 3.9k | $77k (exactly $77,361) | Stalwart Games, LLC |
| | Paper Animal Adventure | · EA | $14.99 | 139 95% | 4.2k | $63k (exactly $62,508) | Cuddling Raccoons Studio |
| | Empyreal | $14.99 | 123 69% | 3.7k | $55k (exactly $55,313) | Silent Games | |
| | GUILT: The Deathless | · EA older | $16.99 | 65 80% | 2.0k | $33k (exactly $33,130) | Outer Brain Studios |
| | Tormentis | · EA older | $19.99 | 27 88% | 810 | $16k (exactly $16,192) | 4 Hands Games |
| | BQM - BlockQuest Maker Remastered | older | $24.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $4.5k (exactly $4,498) | Wonderland Kazakiri inc. |
| | Eternal Pinball RPG | older | $4.99 | 14 71% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | Tim Rachor |
| | Mad Wild Fairy Tale | older | $19.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Morozov Sergey |
| | Doll Hero Thirty-Six | $10.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $330 (exactly $330) | 文山工作室 | |
| | Everforge: Craft Legends | $6.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | Ammonite Design Studios Ltd | |
| | Crepuscule Alley | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | CAStudio | |
| | Covert X Universe | $14.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Covert X Gaming |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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