Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + Asynchronous Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Asynchronous Multiplayer Action RPG?

Action RPG + Asynchronous Multiplayer

Only 8 developers shipped an Asynchronous Multiplayer Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rise of the Ronin, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×7.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $55k against a market of $1.5k. 22 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 36.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 22 announced, ×7.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Asynchronous Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Action RPG + Asynchronous Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $55k (exactly $55,313)
Top 25% $854k (exactly $854,145)
Top 5% $9.8M (exactly $9,752,549)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 27
Announced 22
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 37%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Asynchronous Multiplayer
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 9,858 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $55k, 1 in 4 over $850k, 1 in 20 over $9.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 2 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rise of the Ronin $49.99 6,503 64% 195k $9.8M (exactly $9,752,549) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Dwarven Realms $9.99 2,850 81% 86k $854k (exactly $854,145) Crater Studios
Barbaria older $19.99 129 93% 3.9k $77k (exactly $77,361) Stalwart Games, LLC
Paper Animal Adventure · EA $14.99 139 95% 4.2k $63k (exactly $62,508) Cuddling Raccoons Studio
Empyreal $14.99 123 69% 3.7k $55k (exactly $55,313) Silent Games
GUILT: The Deathless · EA older $16.99 65 80% 2.0k $33k (exactly $33,130) Outer Brain Studios
Tormentis · EA older $19.99 27 88% 810 $16k (exactly $16,192) 4 Hands Games
BQM - BlockQuest Maker Remastered older $24.99 6 83% 180 $4.5k (exactly $4,498) Wonderland Kazakiri inc.
Eternal Pinball RPG older $4.99 14 71% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Tim Rachor
Mad Wild Fairy Tale older $19.99 2 100% 60 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Morozov Sergey
Doll Hero Thirty-Six $10.99 1 100% 30 $330 (exactly $330) 文山工作室
Everforge: Craft Legends $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Ammonite Design Studios Ltd
Crepuscule Alley $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) CAStudio
Covert X Universe $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Covert X Gaming

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.