Games › Action RPG › Action RPG + Assassins
Should I ship an Assassin Action RPG?
Action RPG + Assassins
Only 14 developers shipped an Assassin Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Assassin's Creed Mirage, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×0.5 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59. 54 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper, while revenue is up 185% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $59 (exactly $59) |
|---|---|
| Median | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 25% | $6.3k (exactly $6,296) |
| Top 5% | $17M (exactly $17,414,516) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 61 |
| Announced | 54 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 185% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Action RPG
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Assassins
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Action RPG
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 19,310 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $59. 6 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Action RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + NavalFair
- + Local Co-OpFair
- + WesternFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + Walking SimulatorLong shot
- + WuxiaPoor odds
- + Character Action GamePoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Bullet HeavenPoor odds
Comparable games
Assassin's Creed® Origins 2017 · $216M 
Assassin's Creed® Unity 2014 · $71M 
Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™ 2014 · $38M 
Assassin's Creed® III Remastered 2019 · $18M 
Assassin's Creed Mirage 2024 · $17M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Assassin's Creed® Origins | older | $59.99 | 119,764 85% | 3.6M | $216M (exactly $215,539,271) | Ubisoft Montreal |
| | Assassin's Creed® Unity | older | $29.99 | 79,116 77% | 2.4M | $71M (exactly $71,180,665) | Ubisoft |
| | Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™ | older | $19.99 | 63,815 92% | 1.9M | $38M (exactly $38,269,856) | Monolith Productions |
| | Assassin's Creed® III Remastered | older | $39.99 | 14,646 63% | 439k | $18M (exactly $17,570,806) | Ubisoft Entertainment |
| | Assassin's Creed Mirage | $49.99 | 11,612 76% | 348k | $17M (exactly $17,414,516) | Ubisoft Bordeaux | |
 | The Killing Antidote | · EA | $29.99 | 7,512 88% | 225k | $6.8M (exactly $6,758,546) | MetalStar Studio |
 | Seven: Enhanced Edition | older | $29.99 | 1,429 76% | 43k | $1.3M (exactly $1,285,671) | IMGN.PRO, Fool's Theory |
 | Touhou: Scarlet Curiosity | older | $14.99 | 1,219 91% | 37k | $548k (exactly $548,184) | Ankake Spa |
 | West Hunt | older | $9.99 | 1,522 84% | 46k | $456k (exactly $456,143) | NewGen |
 | Vampire: The Masquerade - Justice | older | $29.99 | 235 64% | 7.1k | $211k (exactly $211,430) | Fast Travel Games |
 | DISORDER | $29.99 | 123 50% | 3.7k | $111k (exactly $110,663) | GRUMPY | |
 | Kebabstar 🌯⭐ | · EA | $14.99 | 14 78% | 420 | $6.3k (exactly $6,296) | Zeybek |
 | Outbreak Zombie Plague | $3.99 | 32 34% | 960 | $3.8k (exactly $3,830) | Aurora Studios | |
 | Pretty Agent 2 | $4.99 | 7 28% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | MC GAME | |
 | The King of Assassins - The Kingdom | $7.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $719 (exactly $719) | Faith Studio Team, Rabie Mounther Haddad | |
 | Cult 87 | $8.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $539 (exactly $539) | Feral Walrus | |
 | The Fox and Devil: Tales Of Eleonora | · EA | $4.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Somatra |
 | Parkour Assassin: Sprint Run | $0.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | Apex Horizon |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.