Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + Agriculture

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Agriculture Action RPG?

Action RPG + Agriculture

Only 11 developers shipped an Agriculture Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Quinfall, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300. 36 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper, while revenue is up 3010% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 3010% on the market, 36 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + Agriculture
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $28k → $6.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + Agriculture: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $360 (exactly $360)
Top 25% $102k (exactly $101,974)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 33
Announced 36
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3010% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, Agriculture
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 53% positive over 13,029 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $360, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
HARVESTELLA older $59.99 2,071 77% 62k $3.7M (exactly $3,727,179) Square Enix
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
Zompiercer · EA older $19.99 4,562 88% 137k $2.7M (exactly $2,735,831) DDDimanN
Immortal Life older $16.99 3,853 79% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,963,874) YiFang Studio
Rune Factory 3 Special older $39.99 734 94% 22k $881k (exactly $880,580) Marvelous Inc.
Kitaria Fables older $19.99 1,253 73% 38k $751k (exactly $751,424) Twin Hearts, Secret Level Studios
欺神弄鬼 · EA $9.99 802 91% 24k $240k (exactly $240,359) 猫台班子工作室 Cat Caboodle
Utawarerumono: ZAN $39.99 85 77% 2.6k $102k (exactly $101,974) AQUAPLUS
Picontier / ピコンティア older $24.99 125 74% 3.8k $94k (exactly $93,712) SKIPMORE, Kan.Kikuchi
Runika: A World of Little Legends · EA older $12.99 89 84% 2.7k $35k (exactly $34,683) Pascal Dittrich
Grimoire Groves $19.99 47 82% 1.4k $28k (exactly $28,186) Stardust
Caravan Village: Farming Life · EA $12.99 16 62% 480 $6.2k (exactly $6,235) Corvantia Interactive
Potion Wilds $11.99 1 100% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Amotoplay
Doll Hero Thirty-Six $10.99 1 100% 30 $330 (exactly $330) 文山工作室
Path of Clicks $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) FANE Studio
SneakBit $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Hidden Mugs
Cropacalypse $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) BecauseImMichael Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.