Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based TacticsTurn-Based Tactics + Action Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action Roguelike Turn-Based Tactics?

Turn-Based Tactics + Action Roguelike

Of 57 developers who shipped an Action Roguelike Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 86 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $89; 1 in 20 cleared $81k, ×129 the market median. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 86 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 86 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Tactics + Action Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 57
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.4k → $1.6k → $6.8k → $3.1k → $240 → $1.6k → $1.3k (still earning) → $225 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Tactics + Action Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 57
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,778)
Top 5% $81k (exactly $81,287)
Developers, 2 yr 57
Released games 109
Announced 86
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Tactics, Action Roguelike; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Roguelite, Strategy
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,703 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $81k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 9 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 86 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TanksFair24 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  2. + AutomationFair28 devs · median $2.9k · 36 announced
  3. + ProgrammingFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  4. + DiceFair47 devs · median $1.6k · 53 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 8 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair65 devs · median $1.4k · 69 announced
  7. + IdlerFair47 devs · median $1.3k · 48 announced
  8. + Psychological HorrorFair55 devs · median $1.0k · 56 announced
  9. + Traditional RoguelikeFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  10. + PsychologicalFair34 devs · median $629 · 40 announced
  11. + PuzzleFair263 devs · median $598 · 308 announced
  12. + PlatformerLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced

All 189 pairs on the Turn-Based Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shotgun King: The Final Checkmate older $9.99 5,918 92% 178k $1.8M (exactly $1,773,625) PUNKCAKE Delicieux
下一站江湖Ⅰ older $19.99 581 72% 17k $348k (exactly $348,426) 白玉京工作室
Enter the Chronosphere · EA $14.99 420 94% 13k $189k (exactly $188,874) Effort Star
Dark Future: Blood Red States (Classic) older $24.99 250 70% 7.5k $187k (exactly $187,425) Auroch Digital
EcoGnomix $19.99 216 74% 6.5k $130k (exactly $129,535) Irox Games
The Land Beneath Us older $14.99 230 79% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) FairPlay Studios
Rack and Slay older $5.99 516 91% 15k $93k (exactly $92,725) Ludokultur
Little Witch Survivors $4.99 543 87% 16k $81k (exactly $81,287) 四月二酱
Desta: The Memories Between older $16.99 124 78% 3.7k $63k (exactly $63,203) ustwo games
Shana - Priestess of Tona $9.99 190 74% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,943) Lustration Team
Tarnished Blood 🩸 [Tactic RPG] · EA $19.99 87 88% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) Juggler Games, Nakayama Games
Clock Rogue $4.99 113 99% 3.4k $17k (exactly $16,916) MONO ENTERTAINMENT
Sigilfarer: A Dice-Rolling Roguelite $11.99 33 72% 990 $12k (exactly $11,870) Viabo Games
100FRIENDS $9.99 32 87% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) TWIN PIXELS
DeAnima $9.99 26 84% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Steelgaze Studio
Coinsweeper $4.99 43 86% 1.3k $6.4k (exactly $6,437) Duo Forge Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.