Do I ship it?

GamesAction RoguelikeAction Roguelike + Romance

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Romance Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Romance

Of 22 developers who shipped a Romance Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.5k, ×14 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $2.1k. Revenue is up 420% on the market; 17 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.2 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 13.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 420% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Romance
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $192k → $6.5k → $12k → $14k (still earning) → $8.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Romance: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Median $6.5k (exactly $6,472)
Top 25% $47k (exactly $47,426)
Top 5% $210k (exactly $210,444)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 39
Announced 17
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 420% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Romance
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $21.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $21.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 3,433 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.2k, median $6.5k, 1 in 4 over $47k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.2k. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  2. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  3. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  4. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  5. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  6. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  8. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  9. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  11. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced
  12. + Visual NovelPoor odds23 devs · median $12k · 23 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Five Hearts Under One Roof season2 $22.99 2,149 96% 64k $1.5M (exactly $1,482,165) Storytaco
Boyfriend Dungeon older $19.99 2,105 91% 63k $1.3M (exactly $1,262,368) Kitfox Games
Wedding Witch older $4.99 4,451 89% 134k $666k (exactly $666,315) Chowbie
Heart&Slash older $14.99 519 81% 16k $233k (exactly $233,394) AHEARTFULOFGAMES
ISEKAI FRONTLINE older $3.99 1,806 77% 54k $216k (exactly $216,178) Studio Ginkgo
Gray Haven : Witch's Garden $21.99 319 76% 9.6k $210k (exactly $210,444) NINEHECTARE
Love Love School Days older $5.99 1,067 95% 32k $192k (exactly $191,740) OTL GAME
Magic Pussy: Chapter 2 older $9.99 425 75% 13k $127k (exactly $127,372) Taboo Tales 💘
Magic Pussy: Chapter 3 $14.99 208 77% 6.2k $94k (exactly $93,538) Dirty Adventures 🖤
GIRLDIVERS $14.99 181 80% 5.4k $81k (exactly $81,396) Sweet Cakes Games
CyberPimp 2069 $17.99 118 87% 3.5k $64k (exactly $63,685) Entropy Digital Entertainment
Nimbit Frontier · EA $13.99 113 97% 3.4k $47k (exactly $47,426) Megasploot
Femboy Survival · EA $6.99 133 92% 4.0k $28k (exactly $27,890) 2DNiem
Ride The Dragon: The Awakening of the Dragon Tamer $10.99 41 56% 1.2k $14k (exactly $13,518) Matariki Studios Co., Ltd
Dawg Game $3.99 104 98% 3.1k $12k (exactly $12,449) Big Noses Entertainment
Milky Rush-Two Paths $3.99 67 74% 2.0k $8.0k (exactly $8,020) snappixgames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.