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Should I ship an Idler Action Roguelike?
Action Roguelike + Idler
Of 44 developers who shipped an Idler Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×2.2 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is up 90% on the market; 55 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 25% | $3.6k (exactly $3,593) |
| Top 5% | $98k (exactly $98,116) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 44 |
| Released games | 81 |
| Announced | 55 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 90% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Action Roguelike
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Idler
- effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Action Roguelike, Idler; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelite, Action, Roguelike
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 27,134 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Action Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + SportsFair
- + Boss RushFair
- + VampiresFair
- + DogsFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + FaithFair
- + Character Action GamePoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + MechsPoor odds
- + Visual NovelPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | BALL x PIT | $14.99 | 24,714 95% | 741k | $11M (exactly $11,113,886) | Kenny Sun and Friends | |
| | 👑 Idle Calibur 👑(选王之剑) | older | $7.99 | 1,242 85% | 37k | $298k (exactly $297,707) | 绝汪 |
| | Flash Doll | $8.99 | 859 80% | 26k | $232k (exactly $231,672) | Game Star | |
| | Doom Sweeper | older | $4.99 | 782 72% | 23k | $117k (exactly $117,065) | Paper Dog |
| | Minutescape | $5.99 | 546 74% | 16k | $98k (exactly $98,116) | Molter | |
| | KUNKUN Defender | older | $2.99 | 822 97% | 25k | $74k (exactly $73,733) | Seal |
| | Duncrush | $3.99 | 321 82% | 9.6k | $38k (exactly $38,424) | Golden Pick Games | |
| | Siegeturtle | $4.99 | 254 86% | 7.6k | $38k (exactly $38,024) | YYZ Studio | |
| | Mining Survivors | $4.99 | 132 74% | 4.0k | $20k (exactly $19,760) | Wonderbounce Games | |
| | Desktop Heroes | $5.99 | 103 69% | 3.1k | $19k (exactly $18,509) | Telazer | |
| | Limitless Survivor | $3.99 | 139 77% | 4.2k | $17k (exactly $16,638) | Tam Lab | |
| | Loot Dungeon | $6.99 | 44 54% | 1.3k | $9.2k (exactly $9,227) | Electric Kite | |
| | Dungeon Market Simulator | $9.99 | 22 40% | 660 | $6.6k (exactly $6,593) | DarkRook Interactive |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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