Do I ship it?

GamesAction RoguelikeAction Roguelike + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Precision Platformer

Of 36 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 38 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 38 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $359 → $718 → $2.7k → $239 → $1.2k → $120 (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,156)
Top 5% $9.3k (exactly $9,348)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 81
Announced 38
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike, Precision Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Arcade
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Difficult, Side Scroller, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 568 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $630, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $9.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  9. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  11. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced
  12. + Visual NovelPoor odds23 devs · median $12k · 23 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BlazBlue Entropy Effect older $19.99 30,410 94% 912k $18M (exactly $18,236,877) 91Act
Downwell older $2.99 7,891 96% 237k $708k (exactly $707,823) Moppin
Spirits Abyss older $8.99 414 96% 12k $112k (exactly $111,656) caiys
4Wheel Challenge $3.99 409 57% 12k $49k (exactly $48,957) LJ3D STUDIOS
I wanna be The Cat older $6.99 155 90% 4.7k $33k (exactly $32,504) Nemega
SATANIC PANIC 666 older $4.99 138 78% 4.1k $21k (exactly $20,659) deadworld games
Verlet Ascend older $6.99 75 88% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,728) Sagewind Studio
Slam and Roll $7.99 39 100% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) KaleidoGames
Vapormaze older $14.99 19 78% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Felipe Rodrigues
Pit Panic $14.99 16 100% 480 $7.2k (exactly $7,195) Flying Rat Studio
Prison Escape Simulator $9.99 18 77% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) PEGAX Studios
Eldritch Climb: A Cursed Ascent · EA $12.99 12 100% 360 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Covert Wonders
Conquistador · EA $14.99 6 100% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) bubby
Dino-Ducks Dash $2.99 30 96% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) Duckosaurus Games
Perfect Liar $3.99 20 100% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) eightworks allware
Rogue Runner $5.99 12 91% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) 42nd Machine
Mind Keeper · EA $10.99 6 100% 180 $2.0k (exactly $1,978) Blackwing Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.