Do I ship it?

Games › Action Roguelike › Action Roguelike + Gambling

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gambling Action Roguelike?

Action Roguelike + Gambling

Of 20 developers who shipped a Gambling Action Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $4.5M, ×9529 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 29 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action Roguelike + Gambling
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $179 → $836 → $6.4k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action Roguelike + Gambling: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $5.2k (exactly $5,211)
Top 5% $4.5M (exactly $4,526,255)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 36
Announced 29
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action Roguelike
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Gambling
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Action Roguelike, Gambling; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $5.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $5.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 19,203 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $600, 1 in 4 over $5.2k, 1 in 20 over $4.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds22 devs · median $6.5k · 17 announced
  2. + Creature CollectorFair39 devs · median $1.8k · 54 announced
  3. + SportsFair41 devs · median $1.6k · 39 announced
  4. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 19 announced
  5. + VampiresFair55 devs · median $1.3k · 52 announced
  6. + IdlerFair44 devs · median $1.0k · 55 announced
  7. + DogsFair19 devs · median $899 · 18 announced
  8. + Precision PlatformerFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + FaithFair16 devs · median $449 · 21 announced
  10. + Character Action GamePoor odds9 devs · median $20k · 40 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $12k · 14 announced
  12. + MechsPoor odds44 devs · median $12k · 85 announced

All 205 pairs on the Action Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Gamble With Your Friends 2026 · $4.5M Break Shoot 2026 · $16k LUCKROT 2026 · $16k Coinsweeper 2026 · $6.4k Funfair Billionaire 2025 · $5.2k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gamble With Your Friends $7.99 18,883 89% 566k $4.5M (exactly $4,526,255) TEAM GWYF
Break Shoot $4.99 106 99% 3.2k $16k (exactly $15,868) UPTRAND
LUCKROT $4.99 104 91% 3.1k $16k (exactly $15,569) OptiCube
Coinsweeper $4.99 43 86% 1.3k $6.4k (exactly $6,437) Duo Forge Games
Funfair Billionaire $5.99 29 82% 870 $5.2k (exactly $5,211) Yunogames
One-In $4.99 9 100% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Tidecrest Studios
Slot or Die $13.99 3 33% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,259) cr0cq
DIMENGUARD $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) RayMag
Slashboy $1.99 14 92% 420 $836 (exactly $836) Punch Game Project
Bengbo older $1.99 12 100% 360 $716 (exactly $716) Wognum Studios
Technically Frogs Can Fly $3.99 5 80% 150 $598 (exactly $598) FLAME130

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.