Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + World War II

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + World War II

Of 24 developers who shipped a WWII Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.3k, ×6.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $7.2M, ×11522 the market median. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 37 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 37 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $1.3k → $6.2k → $1.4k → $164k → $1.2k → $2.5k (still earning) → $4.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Median $4.3k (exactly $4,336)
Top 25% $100k (exactly $100,150)
Top 5% $7.2M (exactly $7,236,052)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 85
Announced 37
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Shooter
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Gore
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 21,234 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $4.3k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $7.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 6 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sniper Elite 5 older $49.99 24,818 83% 745k $37M (exactly $37,219,555) Rebellion
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle $69.99 13,058 89% 392k $27M (exactly $27,417,883) MachineGames
Sniper Elite: Resistance $49.99 4,825 75% 145k $7.2M (exactly $7,236,052) Rebellion
Medal of Honor™: Above and Beyond older $39.99 2,466 65% 74k $3.0M (exactly $2,958,460) Respawn Entertainment
Commandos: Origins $49.99 1,844 79% 55k $2.8M (exactly $2,765,447) Claymore Game Studios
Martha Is Dead older $29.99 2,700 78% 81k $2.4M (exactly $2,429,190) LKA
The Saboteur™ older $9.99 2,790 91% 84k $836k (exactly $836,163) Pandemic Studios
Deadfall Adventures older $19.99 1,307 74% 39k $784k (exactly $783,808) The Farm 51
Sniper Elite VR older $29.99 803 56% 24k $722k (exactly $722,459) Just Add Water (Developments), Ltd.
BloodRayne: Terminal Cut older $14.99 1,593 90% 48k $716k (exactly $716,372) Terminal Reality
Trench Lord: Eastern Front $11.99 774 83% 23k $278k (exactly $278,408) Tracer Studio, LING YUN CO.,LTD.
Zombie Army VR $29.99 182 44% 5.5k $164k (exactly $163,745) Rebellion, Xtended Realities
A Foreign World $19.99 167 84% 5.0k $100k (exactly $100,150) HighbornTiger
Medic: Pacific War · EA $9.99 143 70% 4.3k $43k (exactly $42,857) Hypnotic Ants
Fuck's Quest II $4.99 133 100% 4.0k $20k (exactly $19,910) Ancient Computer Tech
Salvation: Echoes of War $19.99 16 93% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Infinite Entropy
Quartermain and the Cult of Cthulhu $2.99 92 95% 2.8k $8.3k (exactly $8,252) ThePrinceOfMars

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.