Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Word Game Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Word Game

Only 18 developers shipped a Word Game Action-Adventure in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, 鸿运修仙传, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270, ×0.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $89; 1 in 20 cleared $6.1k, ×9.7 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 19 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 19 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $598 → $180 → $1.1k → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $270 (exactly $270)
Top 25% $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 5% $6.1k (exactly $6,110)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 39
Announced 19
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Word Game; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, 2D Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Cartoon
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 74 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $270, 1 in 4 over $1.0k, 1 in 20 over $6.1k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Chants of Sennaar older $19.99 30,416 98% 912k $18M (exactly $18,240,475) Rundisc
Cryptmaster older $24.99 1,671 94% 50k $1.3M (exactly $1,252,749) Paul Hart, Lee Williams, Akupara Games
The Quest For Excalibur - Puy Du Fou older $14.99 15 53% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Balio Studio
鸿运修仙传 $5.99 34 76% 1.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,110) 玉米工作室
Ma3 older $9.99 13 69% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Matheesan, Ahila
Humanoid older $14.99 7 0% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) BinaryBrigade, Seywan Jahani
Blightseed $6.99 12 100% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Zen of Mars
冒险与魔法 older $2.99 25 60% 750 $2.2k (exactly $2,242) 简简单单说简单工作室
Interrogator 2 · EA $7.99 6 16% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Jarema Radom
SUIKAWA LEAD $7.99 5 100% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) くそいサイト
Quiz Kingdom: Elementary Math Kids RPG $17.99 2 50% 60 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) DIG Games
異誕監視室 | Monativity Surveillance $2.99 9 44% 270 $807 (exactly $807) Coward_Watson
Typeshot $8.88 2 100% 60 $533 (exactly $533) Aether and Earth
Cursed Presence $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Francisco Aguilar Montoya
SINGULARITY $8.99 1 100% 30 $270 (exactly $270) xzx
Alehouse Tavern Simulator $5.99 1 0% 30 $180 (exactly $180) COOL DEVS S.R.L.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.